Matchup Machine

Tommy Pham

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matchup for Carson Fulmer

160th out of 436 (Best 37%)

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Carson Fulmer

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matchup for Tommy Pham

241st out of 567 (Best 43%)

Moderate advantage for Pham
4

Model Prediction

Tommy Pham has a 33.0% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 0.5% higher than Pham's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Fulmer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.0%22.7%2.3%5.3%15.2%10.2%20.1%
Pham+0.5+0.4+0.1+0.30.0+0.1-2.6
Fulmer-0.5-1.0-0.8-0.3+0.0+0.6-1.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Tommy Pham is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Pham has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Tommy Pham has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
37%
   Changeup (R)
20%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Tommy Pham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% -2.6% 5%         Walk -1.5% +2.5% 38%         In Play +2.6% +0.1% 39%         On Base +4.2% +3.9% 31%         Hit +5.7% +1.4% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.6% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -0.7% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years