Matchup Machine

Tommy Pham

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matchup for Tyler Glasnow

169th out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Tyler Glasnow

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matchup for Tommy Pham

563rd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Extreme advantage for Glasnow
9

Model Prediction

Tommy Pham has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Glasnow, which is 8.4% lower than Pham's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Glasnow.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%16.4%1.6%4.2%10.6%7.7%30.6%
Pham-8.4-6.0-0.6-0.8-4.6-2.4+8.0
Glasnow-0.7-1.4-0.5-0.1-0.8+0.8-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tommy Pham is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Glasnow is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pham has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Glasnow throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Tommy Pham has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Curve (R)
22%
   Slider (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

13.9% of Tommy Pham's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. Tyler Glasnow strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 11.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.2% +11.0% 5%         Walk -1.5% -0.8% 38%         In Play +2.6% -10.2% 39%         On Base +4.2% -6.6% 31%         Hit +5.7% -5.8% 14%         Single +2.9% -2.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% -2.6% 3%         Home Run -0.7% -1.0%

History

Tommy Pham has 2 plate appearances against Tyler Glasnow in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual210000010.000
Expected From Contact →0.310.000.240.070.309
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-10-03Lineout24%7%69%
2022-10-03Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.