Matchup Machine

Miguel Rojas

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matchup for C. Hernandez

216th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Carlos Hernandez

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matchup for Miguel Rojas

312th out of 567 (Worst 45%)

Moderate advantage for Rojas
4

Model Prediction

Miguel Rojas has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.0% lower than Rojas's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%24.4%2.1%5.6%16.7%6.3%13.7%
Rojas-1.0-1.1+0.3+0.3-1.6+0.1+0.1
Hernandez-1.5+2.9-1.0-0.2+4.1-4.4-10.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Rojas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Miguel Rojas has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Kn-Curve (R)
8%
   Splitter (R)
6%
   Sinker (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

6.3% of Miguel Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.0% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.0% -1.8% 5%         Walk -1.2% +2.0% 33%         In Play +15.2% -0.2% 39%         On Base +9.8% +0.9% 31%         Hit +11.0% -1.1% 14%         Single +6.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +6.5% -0.7% 3%         Home Run -1.5% +0.6%

History

No History in the last 3 years