Matchup Machine

Miguel Rojas

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matchup for Felix Bautista

343rd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Felix Bautista

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matchup for Miguel Rojas

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Bautista
4

Model Prediction

Miguel Rojas has a 30.3% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 1.4% lower than Rojas's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Bautista.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.3%19.5%1.7%2.9%14.9%10.8%23.4%
Rojas-1.4-6.0-0.2-2.4-3.5+4.6+9.9
Bautista+1.3+3.0-0.9-0.1+4.0-1.8-12.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Rojas is worse vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 65% of the time. Miguel Rojas has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
65%
   Splitter (R)
25%
   Slider (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

6.3% of Miguel Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.0% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 25.5% of the batters he faces, which is 19.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.0% +19.3% 5%         Walk -1.2% +2.3% 33%         In Play +15.2% -21.6% 39%         On Base +9.8% -10.2% 31%         Hit +11.0% -12.5% 14%         Single +6.1% -5.8% 13%         2B / 3B +6.5% -5.4% 3%         Home Run -1.5% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years