Matchup Machine

Miguel Rojas

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Miguel Rojas

148th out of 567 (Best 27%)

Strong advantage for Rojas
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Model Prediction

Miguel Rojas has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 1.6% higher than Rojas's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.4%25.6%2.1%5.3%18.2%7.7%12.0%
Rojas+1.6+0.1+0.20.0-0.1+1.5-1.6
Anderson-0.4+3.4-0.9+0.1+4.1-3.7-9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Miguel Rojas is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Rojas has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Miguel Rojas has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

6.3% of Miguel Rojas's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.0% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 20%         Strikeout -14.0% -1.9% 5%         Walk -1.2% -1.0% 33%         In Play +15.2% +2.9% 39%         On Base +9.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit +11.0% +0.9% 14%         Single +6.1% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +6.5% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.5% -0.2%

History

Miguel Rojas has 8 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 7 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual871001210.143
Expected From Contact →1.030.060.070.900.147
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-07Walk
2023-07-07Strikeout
2022-08-26Field Error
2022-08-26Single1%88%11%
2022-08-26Pop Out2%97%
2022-08-19Strikeout
2022-08-19Pop Out100%
2022-08-19Flyout6%4%90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.