Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Carlos Santana

matchup for Cole Ragans

429th out of 436 (Worst 2%)

Cole Ragans

matchup for Carlos Santana

176th out of 567 (Best 32%)

Extreme advantage for Santana

Carlos Santana has a 37.6% chance of reaching base vs Cole Ragans, which is 2.9% higher than Santana's typical expectations, and 7.2% higher than batters facing Ragans.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.6%	18.7%	4.0%	3.8%	10.9%	18.9%	23.1%
Santana	+2.9	-2.4	+0.7	-0.5	-2.6	+5.3	+3.0
Ragans	+7.2	+0.8	+1.4	-0.6	-0.1	+6.4	-8.6

Carlos Santana is better vs left-handed pitching. Cole Ragans is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Santana has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Cole Ragans throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Carlos Santana has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Changeup (L)

24%

Cutter (L)

13%

Slider (L)

10%

Kn-Curve (L)

21% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Meatball 4%

-2%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-2%

43% of Cole Ragans's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 22% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 43%

+22%

Offspeed (L) 24%

+12%

Very Fast Velo 14%

+11%

High Ride 20%

+10%

9.8% of Carlos Santana's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.1% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -8.1% +4.4% 3%

Walk +3.6% +1.2% 38%

In Play +4.5% -5.6% 39%

On Base +2.8% -1.8% 31%

Hit -0.7% -3.0% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.0% -1.2% 3%

Home Run +1.5% -0.3%

33.1% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Cole Ragans induces Standard Grounders at a 30.5% rate, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +1.9% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.3% -3.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.9% +2.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% +1.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.3% +2.1% 4%

Maybe Homer 0.0% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% -1.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.9% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.8% -2.2% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +1.4%

29.8% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. 18.7% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at above 100 mph, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.3% +3.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% -0.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.3% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +5.6% -5.6%

10.9% of Carlos Santana's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Cole Ragans are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +2.0% +3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.4% -4.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.3% +1.3% 18%

7 to 18° -3.4% +3.0% 15%

19 to 28° -1.1% -5.3% 11%

29 to 38° -0.5% -0.9% 7%

39 to 50° +0.6% +1.0% 8%

Above 50° +2.5% +1.6%

Carlos Santana has 14 plate appearances against Cole Ragans in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 14 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	3	1	0	2	4	0	0.214
Expected From Contact →			3.22	0.99	0.09	2.14			0.230

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Pop Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Single
2024-09-06	Pop Out				99%
2024-09-06	Flyout				100%
2024-09-06	Groundout		5%	5%	90%
2024-08-14	Flyout		2%	1%	97%
2024-08-14	Strikeout
2024-08-14	Home Run	99%
2024-05-28	Strikeout
2024-05-28	Single			30%	70%
2024-03-28	Intent Walk
2024-03-28	Strikeout
2024-03-28	Groundout			77%	22%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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