Carlos Santana has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 1.9% higher than Santana's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Allen.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 36.0% | 25.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% |
Santana | +1.9 | +4.5 | +0.4 | +1.1 | +3.0 | -2.6 | -5.5 |
Allen | +1.0 | -0.9 | +0.6 | -0.4 | -1.1 | +1.8 | -3.7 |
Carlos Santana is better vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Santana has an A grade vs this particular release point.
Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Carlos Santana has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
9.8% of Carlos Santana's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Carlos Santana has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.306 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2022-04-11 | Groundout | 30% | 69% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.