Matchup Machine

Carlos Santana

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matchup for Logan Allen

363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for Carlos Santana

80th out of 567 (Best 15%)

Extreme advantage for Santana
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Model Prediction

Carlos Santana has a 36.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 1.9% higher than Santana's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.0%25.2%3.5%5.5%16.2%10.9%13.9%
Santana+1.9+4.5+0.4+1.1+3.0-2.6-5.5
Allen+1.0-0.9+0.6-0.4-1.1+1.8-3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Carlos Santana is better vs left-handed pitching. Logan Allen is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Santana has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Carlos Santana has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Slider (L)
28%
   Changeup (L)
14%
   Curve (L)
7%
   Cutter (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

9.8% of Carlos Santana's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 12.8% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% -2.6% 3%         Walk +3.2% +1.3% 38%         In Play +4.8% +1.3% 39%         On Base +2.3% +6.7% 31%         Hit -0.9% +5.4% 14%         Single -1.3% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.9% +3.1% 3%         Home Run +1.2% -0.5%

History

Carlos Santana has 1 plate appearance against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.310.000.000.300.306
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-04-11Groundout30%69%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.