matchup for Tyler Duffey
matchup for Carlos Santana
8
Carlos Santana has a 36.1% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Duffey, which is 1.7% higher than Santana's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Duffey.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 36.1% | 20.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 19.6% |
| Santana | +1.7 | -0.7 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.1 | +2.4 | +0.8 |
| Duffey | +2.0 | -2.2 | +0.5 | -1.5 | -1.1 | +4.2 | -5.1 |
Carlos Santana is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Duffey is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Santana has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.
Tyler Duffey throws a Kn-Curve 42% of the time. Carlos Santana hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Kn-Curve (R)
42%
4-Seam (R)
40%
Sinker (R)
14%
23% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has a B grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Likely Ball
23%
+4%
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
7%
+1%
Strong Challenge
5%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Meatball
4%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
28% of Tyler Duffey's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
28%
+23%
Medium Fast Velo
29%
+14%
Breaking (R)
42%
+12%
Medium Break
28%
+9%
9.6% of Carlos Santana's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-8.4%
+3.7%
3%
Walk
+3.1%
-2.4%
37%
In Play
+5.3%
-1.3%
39%
On Base
+2.3%
-5.5%
31%
Hit
-0.8%
-3.1%
14%
Single
-1.2%
-1.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.7%
-1.3%
3%
Home Run
+1.1%
-0.5%
33.0% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Duffey induces Standard Grounders at a 31.8% rate, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-1.5%
-2.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.9%
+3.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.7%
-1.0%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.2%
+1.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
0.0%
-1.5%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.7%
-0.8%
1%
No Doubter
+0.9%
+0.9%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.8%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
+0.9%
-0.5%
29.8% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
-1.2%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.4%
-3.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.5%
-0.6%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.2%
+2.6%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.5%
+2.8%
10.9% of Carlos Santana's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Tyler Duffey are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.9%
-0.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.3%
+0.0%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.3%
+0.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.3%
+3.7%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.1%
-2.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.5%
-0.4%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.6%
-1.9%
8%
Above 50°
+2.5%
+0.6%
Carlos Santana has 4 plate appearances against Tyler Duffey in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.11 | 0.70 | 0.37 | 0.04 | 0.279 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-10-01 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2022-05-26 | Groundout | 1% | 3% | 96% | |
| 2022-05-22 | Lineout | 9% | 90% | ||
| 2022-05-20 | Home Run | 70% | 26% | 3% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
