matchup for Jordan Lyles
matchup for Carlos Santana
10
Carlos Santana has a 35.6% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 1.2% higher than Santana's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Lyles.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 35.6% | 23.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% |
| Santana | +1.2 | +2.6 | +0.9 | +1.2 | +0.6 | -1.5 | -5.5 |
| Lyles | +1.8 | -0.6 | +0.8 | -0.6 | -0.9 | +2.4 | -4.3 |
Carlos Santana is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Santana has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Carlos Santana has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
35%
Slider (R)
23%
Curve (R)
17%
Sinker (R)
12%
Changeup (R)
10%
9% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
9%
+3%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Non-Competitive
12%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-1%
Weak Challenge
7%
-1%
16% of Jordan Lyles's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Carlos Santana has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Drop
16%
+12%
Medium Velo
21%
+10%
Medium Break
28%
+9%
Breaking (R)
40%
+9%
9.6% of Carlos Santana's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-8.4%
+0.8%
3%
Walk
+3.1%
-2.3%
37%
In Play
+5.3%
+1.5%
39%
On Base
+2.3%
-4.1%
31%
Hit
-0.8%
-1.8%
14%
Single
-1.2%
-1.0%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.7%
-0.7%
3%
Home Run
+1.1%
-0.1%
33.0% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles induces Standard Grounders at a 26.3% rate, which is 8.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+0.5%
34%
Standard Grounder
-1.5%
-8.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.9%
+1.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.7%
-0.1%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.2%
-1.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
0.0%
-0.3%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.7%
+2.6%
1%
No Doubter
+0.9%
+0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.8%
+1.8%
3%
Pop up
+0.9%
+3.1%
29.8% of Carlos Santana's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 5.5% higher than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.4%
-2.7%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.4%
+1.2%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-1.5%
0.0%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-1.2%
+0.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
+5.5%
+0.6%
10.9% of Carlos Santana's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 11.3% of batted balls allowed by Jordan Lyles are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.9%
-4.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-0.3%
-1.7%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.3%
-0.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.3%
-2.3%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.1%
+1.4%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.5%
-0.2%
7%
39 to 50°
+0.6%
+0.4%
8%
Above 50°
+2.5%
+6.6%
Carlos Santana has 4 plate appearances against Jordan Lyles in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.250 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.29 | 1.21 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.323 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-03-31 | Flyout | 20% | 4% | 76% | |
| 2022-06-09 | Flyout | 3% | 1% | 95% | |
| 2022-06-09 | Flyout | 100% | |||
| 2022-06-09 | Home Run | 98% | 1% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
