Matchup Machine

Justin Turner

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matchup for Bryce Miller

382nd out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Justin Turner

521st out of 567 (Worst 8%)

Leans in favor of Turner
2

Model Prediction

Justin Turner has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 3.4% lower than Turner's typical expectations, and 3.2% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.4%20.3%2.3%4.5%13.5%12.1%24.6%
Turner-3.4-3.2-0.6-0.8-1.8-0.2+5.6
Miller+3.2-0.10.0+0.1-0.2+3.3-5.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Justin Turner is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Turner has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Justin Turner has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Justin Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +0.2% 3%         Walk +3.3% -2.5% 38%         In Play +2.8% +2.3% 39%         On Base +6.1% -3.2% 31%         Hit +2.9% -0.7% 14%         Single +1.2% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% -0.4% 3%         Home Run 0.0% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years