Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Justin Turner

matchup for Joe Ryan

394th out of 436 (Worst 10%)

Joe Ryan

matchup for Justin Turner

532nd out of 567 (Worst 6%)

Leans in favor of Ryan

Justin Turner has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Joe Ryan, which is 6.0% lower than Turner's typical expectations, and 3.1% higher than batters facing Ryan.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	20.4%	2.4%	5.3%	12.6%	9.5%	22.6%
Turner	-6.0	-3.2	-0.5	0.0	-2.7	-2.8	+3.6
Ryan	+3.1	+0.2	-0.1	+0.0	+0.3	+2.9	-6.4

Justin Turner is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Joe Ryan is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Turner has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Joe Ryan throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Justin Turner has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

19%

Splitter (R)

16%

9% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Justin Turner has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 17%

-2%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

49% of Joe Ryan's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Justin Turner has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 49%

+28%

Low Ride 39%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

11.0% of Justin Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan strikes out 16.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Strikeout -6.1% +4.7% 3%

Walk +3.3% -3.3% 38%

In Play +2.8% -1.4% 39%

On Base +6.1% -8.0% 31%

Hit +2.9% -4.7% 14%

Single +1.2% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.7% -2.7% 3%

Home Run 0.0% +0.9%

26.9% of Justin Turner's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.6% lower than the league average. Joe Ryan induces Standard Grounders at a 33.7% rate, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.6% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -7.6% -0.7% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -2.8% 14%

Low Screamer +1.5% -0.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -2.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -0.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.2% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.4% +0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +6.1% +3.1% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +4.0%

19.7% of Justin Turner's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. 23.2% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -4.4% +5.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.1% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.0% -0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +5.1% -2.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -4.6% -1.1%

14.3% of Justin Turner's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. 11.8% of batted balls allowed by Joe Ryan are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -5.8% -1.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.7% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.8% -2.3% 18%

7 to 18° +2.3% -1.2% 15%

19 to 28° +0.7% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° +2.9% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +3.3% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.2% +6.7%

Justin Turner has 13 plate appearances against Joe Ryan in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 13 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	13	13	3	0	1	2	1	0	0.231
Expected From Contact →			4.22	0.26	1.35	2.62			0.325

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-05-10	Lineout			12%	88%
2024-05-10	Lineout		7%	8%	85%
2024-05-10	Groundout			13%	87%
2023-06-22	Single		3%	87%	10%
2023-06-22	Lineout	4%	33%	1%	62%
2023-06-22	Flyout	3%	26%	1%	70%
2023-06-22	Pop Out				99%
2023-04-19	Pop Out				100%
2023-04-19	Flyout	4%	3%		92%
2023-04-19	Lineout		2%	49%	48%
2022-08-09	Strikeout
2022-08-09	Double	14%	59%	2%	25%
2022-08-09	Single			89%	11%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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