Matchup Machine

Justin Turner

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matchup for Ranger Suarez

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Ranger Suarez

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matchup for Justin Turner

209th out of 567 (Best 38%)

Extreme advantage for Turner
9

Model Prediction

Justin Turner has a 38.0% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 2.2% higher than Turner's typical expectations, and 4.0% higher than batters facing Suarez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.0%27.1%2.7%5.7%18.7%10.9%20.0%
Turner+2.2+3.5-0.2+0.3+3.4-1.4+1.1
Suarez+4.0+2.3+0.2+0.0+2.1+1.6-4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Justin Turner is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Turner has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Justin Turner has a D grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
33%
   4-Seam (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Curve (L)
12%
   Cutter (L)
8%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Justin Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% +0.1% 3%         Walk +3.3% -1.2% 38%         In Play +2.8% +1.1% 39%         On Base +6.1% +1.9% 31%         Hit +2.9% +3.1% 14%         Single +1.2% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +2.2% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.9%

History

Justin Turner has 5 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551001200.200
Expected From Contact →1.330.000.111.220.266
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-05-20Groundout14%86%
2022-05-20Strikeout
2022-05-14Strikeout
2022-05-14Single94%6%
2022-05-14Lineout10%14%75%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.