Matchup Machine

Justin Turner

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

412th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Justin Turner

152nd out of 567 (Best 28%)

Extreme advantage for Turner
10

Model Prediction

Justin Turner has a 38.5% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 2.6% higher than Turner's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.5%22.6%3.1%5.3%14.2%15.9%16.6%
Turner+2.6-1.0+0.2-0.1-1.1+3.6-2.4
Anderson+4.7+0.3+0.2+0.1+0.1+4.4-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Justin Turner is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Turner has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Justin Turner has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.0% of Justin Turner's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.1% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.1% -1.9% 3%         Walk +3.3% -1.0% 38%         In Play +2.8% +2.9% 39%         On Base +6.1% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.9% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.2% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.7% +0.6% 3%         Home Run 0.0% -0.2%

History

Justin Turner has 8 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with 2 home runs, a double and 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual863210020.500
Expected From Contact →3.391.851.090.440.564
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-31Home Run96%2%3%
2024-08-31Home Run89%7%3%
2023-05-24Flyout10%89%
2023-05-24Walk
2023-05-24Groundout29%71%
2023-04-15GIDP1%8%91%
2023-04-15Double89%7%5%
2023-04-15Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.