Matchup Machine

Andrew McCutchen

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

231st out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for A. McCutchen

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Andrew McCutchen has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.5% lower than McCutchen's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%18.4%2.5%4.6%11.4%12.6%28.7%
McCutchen-1.5-1.1-0.5+0.1-0.7-0.4+1.5
Weathers+1.1-3.1+0.4-1.0-2.5+4.3+4.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Andrew McCutchen is slightly better vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. McCutchen has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Andrew McCutchen has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Andrew McCutchen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% -2.1% 3%         Walk +3.4% -0.6% 42%         In Play -4.8% +2.7% 39%         On Base -1.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit -4.6% +1.5% 14%         Single -3.4% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.3% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years