Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Andrew McCutchen

matchup for M. Rodriguez

182nd out of 436 (Best 43%)

Manuel Rodriguez

matchup for A. McCutchen

422nd out of 567 (Worst 26%)

Leans in favor of Rodriguez

Andrew McCutchen has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Manuel Rodriguez, which is 1.1% lower than McCutchen's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	18.6%	2.1%	4.1%	12.4%	12.8%	27.8%
McCutchen	-1.1	-0.8	-0.9	-0.3	+0.4	-0.3	+0.6
Rodriguez	+0.1	-2.8	+0.1	-0.4	-2.4	+2.8	+3.5

Andrew McCutchen is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Manuel Rodriguez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCutchen has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Manuel Rodriguez throws a Slider 39% of the time. Andrew McCutchen has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

39%

Sinker (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

23%

13% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Andrew McCutchen has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 13%

+5%

Non-Competitive 15%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 10%

-2%

Meatball 1%

-5%

36% of Manuel Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Andrew McCutchen has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Fast Velo 36%

+28%

Small Break 24%

+12%

Large Drop 15%

+10%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

15.5% of Andrew McCutchen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez strikes out 16.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout +1.4% -0.9% 3%

Walk +3.4% -0.7% 42%

In Play -4.8% +1.6% 39%

On Base -1.2% -3.4% 31%

Hit -4.6% -2.7% 14%

Single -3.4% -1.2% 13%

2B / 3B -3.3% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +2.1% -0.8%

32.3% of Andrew McCutchen's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Manuel Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 41.9% rate, which is 7.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.1% +7.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% +6.8% 9%

Rising Liner 0.0% -0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% -3.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.9% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter -0.1% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout +2.5% -7.9% 3%

Pop up +0.2% -1.6%

24.8% of Andrew McCutchen's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% higher than the league average. 24.6% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -0.6% +5.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.5% +3.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +0.6% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -0.1% -6.7% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.5% +0.3%

12.8% of Andrew McCutchen's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. 11.2% of batted balls allowed by Manuel Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 0.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -2.6% +2.1% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.2% +6.7% 8%

1 to 6° -1.7% +0.2% 18%

7 to 18° +1.5% -2.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.5% -3.3% 11%

29 to 38° +1.4% -0.2% 7%

39 to 50° +0.4% -1.5% 8%

Above 50° +1.4% -1.9%

Andrew McCutchen has 1 plate appearance against Manuel Rodriguez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	1.000
Expected From Contact →			0.91	0.00	0.00	0.91			0.913

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-26	Single			91%	9%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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