Matchup Machine

Andrew McCutchen

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matchup for Michael King

214th out of 436 (Best 50%)

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Michael King

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matchup for A. McCutchen

441st out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Moderate advantage for King
3

Model Prediction

Andrew McCutchen has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 1.5% lower than McCutchen's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing King.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%19.2%2.3%4.5%12.3%11.8%31.9%
McCutchen-1.5-0.3-0.6+0.1+0.3-1.2+4.7
King+0.5-2.0-0.2+0.1-1.8+2.5+3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Andrew McCutchen is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. McCutchen has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Andrew McCutchen has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
37%
   Slider (R)
20%
   4-Seam (R)
20%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Andrew McCutchen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.6% of the batters he faces, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% +4.8% 3%         Walk +3.4% +0.2% 42%         In Play -4.8% -5.0% 39%         On Base -1.2% -1.9% 31%         Hit -4.6% -2.1% 14%         Single -3.4% -0.6% 13%         2B / 3B -3.3% -1.0% 3%         Home Run +2.1% -0.4%

History

Andrew McCutchen has 6 plate appearances against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual662101300.333
Expected From Contact →1.990.980.011.000.332
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-13Groundout
2024-08-13Single
2024-08-13Strikeout
2024-08-07Strikeout
2024-08-07Strikeout
2024-08-07Home Run98%1%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.