Matchup Machine

Andrew McCutchen

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matchup for Cal Quantrill

382nd out of 436 (Worst 13%)

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Cal Quantrill

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matchup for A. McCutchen

2nd out of 567 (Best 1%)

Extreme advantage for McCutchen
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Model Prediction

Andrew McCutchen has a 43.5% chance of reaching base vs Cal Quantrill, which is 11.0% higher than McCutchen's typical expectations, and 4.7% higher than batters facing Quantrill.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction43.5%22.1%3.0%5.9%13.2%21.4%16.8%
McCutchen+11.0+2.6+0.1+1.4+1.2+8.4-10.4
Quantrill+4.7-2.90.0-0.2-2.7+7.6+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Andrew McCutchen is a bit worse vs right-handed pitching. Cal Quantrill is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. McCutchen has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Cal Quantrill throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Andrew McCutchen has a B+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Cutter (R)
18%
   Changeup (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Slider (R)
9%
   Curve (R)
7%
   4-Seam (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

15.5% of Andrew McCutchen's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.4% higher than the league average. Cal Quantrill strikes out 11.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout +1.4% -6.2% 3%         Walk +3.4% +1.0% 42%         In Play -4.8% +5.2% 39%         On Base -1.2% +4.1% 31%         Hit -4.6% +3.1% 14%         Single -3.4% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -3.3% +1.3% 3%         Home Run +2.1% +0.8%

History

Andrew McCutchen has 3 plate appearances against Cal Quantrill in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →1.740.940.400.400.579
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-03Flyout93%6%
2024-05-03Lineout1%34%29%36%
2024-05-03Groundout10%89%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.