Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Bryce Miller

377th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for Donovan Solano

400th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Leans in favor of Solano
1

Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 1.0% lower than Solano's typical expectations, and 2.4% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.6%23.5%2.7%5.3%15.5%8.2%28.6%
Solano-1.0-1.00.00.0-0.9-0.1+4.5
Miller+2.4+3.0+0.4+0.9+1.7-0.6-1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Solano has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Donovan Solano has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +0.2% 5%         Walk -1.5% -2.5% 39%         In Play +2.2% +2.3% 39%         On Base +4.0% -3.2% 31%         Hit +5.5% -0.7% 14%         Single +2.8% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -0.4% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.5%

History

Donovan Solano has 2 plate appearances against Bryce Miller in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.430.000.000.420.213
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-10Single20%80%
2024-07-10GIDP22%77%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.