Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Tanner Houck

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for Donovan Solano

268th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Solano
5

Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 34.0% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.3% higher than Solano's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.0%25.5%1.8%4.6%19.0%8.5%16.8%
Solano+1.3+1.0-0.9-0.7+2.7+0.3-7.3
Houck+2.2+3.4-0.3+0.3+3.4-1.2-2.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Solano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Donovan Solano has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.5% +0.2% 39%         In Play +2.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +4.0% +0.4% 31%         Hit +5.5% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.8% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.9%

History

Donovan Solano has 3 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual331001000.333
Expected From Contact →1.630.000.940.690.542
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-29Lineout7%6%87%
2024-06-29Lineout52%8%40%
2024-06-29Single35%55%10%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.