Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

343rd out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Donovan Solano

76th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Solano
9

Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 36.3% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.7% higher than Solano's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.3%25.4%3.6%6.3%15.5%10.9%23.5%
Solano+3.7+1.0+0.9+0.9-0.8+2.7-0.6
Flaherty+2.1+2.2+0.0+1.1+1.00.0+0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Solano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Donovan Solano has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.5% -1.5% 39%         In Play +2.2% -4.3% 39%         On Base +4.0% -2.0% 31%         Hit +5.5% -0.5% 14%         Single +2.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -0.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.2%

History

Donovan Solano has 5 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual540000110.000
Expected From Contact →0.290.080.160.050.074
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-25Strikeout
2024-09-25Flyout100%
2022-09-16Fielders Choice Out8%5%87%
2022-09-16Flyout8%7%84%
2022-09-16Walk

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.