Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Luis Severino

326th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Luis Severino

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matchup for Donovan Solano

364th out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Solano
3

Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Luis Severino, which is 0.2% higher than Solano's typical expectations, and 2.0% higher than batters facing Severino.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%24.0%2.6%4.0%17.4%9.1%22.7%
Solano+0.2-0.7-0.1-1.4+0.8+0.90.0
Severino+2.0+2.5-0.2-0.2+2.9-0.5-1.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Luis Severino is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Solano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Luis Severino throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Donovan Solano has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Sinker (R)
8%
   Cutter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

13.8% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Luis Severino strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 0.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.3% +0.9% 5%         Walk -1.3% -1.0% 38%         In Play +2.6% +0.1% 39%         On Base +4.9% -1.3% 31%         Hit +6.2% -0.3% 14%         Single +3.2% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.6% +0.0% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years