Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Thyago Vieira

349th out of 436 (Worst 20%)

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Thyago Vieira

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matchup for Donovan Solano

232nd out of 567 (Best 42%)

Strong advantage for Solano
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Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 34.8% chance of reaching base vs Thyago Vieira, which is 2.2% higher than Solano's typical expectations, and 1.1% higher than batters facing Vieira.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.8%23.2%2.5%5.1%15.6%11.6%22.6%
Solano+2.2-1.2-0.2-0.3-0.7+3.4-1.5
Vieira+1.1+3.1+0.2+0.5+2.3-2.0-1.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is worse vs right-handed pitching. Thyago Vieira is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Solano has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Thyago Vieira throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Donovan Solano has a D+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
30%
   Sinker (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Thyago Vieira strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -2.2% 5%         Walk -1.5% +4.2% 39%         In Play +2.2% -2.0% 39%         On Base +4.0% +1.5% 31%         Hit +5.5% -2.7% 14%         Single +2.8% -2.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% -1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.9%

History

Donovan Solano has 2 plate appearances against Thyago Vieira in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010000.500
Expected From Contact →0.250.030.200.020.125
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-06Double17%2%81%
2024-06-08Sac Fly3%3%94%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.