Matchup Machine

Donovan Solano

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matchup for Austin Gomber

383rd out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Austin Gomber

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matchup for Donovan Solano

70th out of 567 (Best 13%)

Extreme advantage for Solano
9

Model Prediction

Donovan Solano has a 34.5% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 1.8% higher than Solano's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Gomber.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.5%29.7%2.6%8.7%18.4%4.8%16.9%
Solano+1.8+5.3-0.1+3.3+2.0-3.5-7.3
Gomber+2.7+3.8-0.7+2.1+2.5-1.1-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Donovan Solano is better vs left-handed pitching. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Solano has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Donovan Solano has a C- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
42%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Kn-Curve (L)
18%
   Changeup (L)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

14.2% of Donovan Solano's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.7% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.7% -3.3% 5%         Walk -1.5% -2.5% 39%         In Play +2.2% +5.9% 39%         On Base +4.0% +0.6% 31%         Hit +5.5% +3.1% 14%         Single +2.8% +1.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.3% +1.6% 3%         Home Run -0.5% +0.3%

History

Donovan Solano has 5 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552101000.400
Expected From Contact →2.030.690.331.020.406
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-02Pop Out99%
2024-08-02Groundout2%97%
2024-08-02Home Run69%27%2%3%
2024-05-15Single4%81%15%
2024-05-15Flyout1%16%82%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.