Matchup Machine

      Martin Maldonado

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      matchup for Logan Allen

      10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

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      Logan Allen

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      matchup for M. Maldonado

      48th out of 567 (Best 9%)

      Leans in favor of Maldonado
      2

      Model Prediction

      Martin Maldonado has a 29.2% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 3.7% higher than Maldonado's typical expectations, and 7.9% lower than batters facing Allen.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Martin Maldonado is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Maldonado has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Martin Maldonado has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
      47%
         Slider (L)
      22%
         Changeup (L)
      19%
         Cutter (L)
      11%

      Contact and Outcomes

      22.0% of Martin Maldonado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.5% higher than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.5% -4.2% 5%         Walk -1.1% +1.6% 44%         In Play -11.4% +2.6% 39%         On Base -11.0% +1.5% 31%         Hit -9.9% -0.1% 14%         Single -5.8% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -5.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.3% +1.4%

      History

      Martin Maldonado has 5 plate appearances against Logan Allen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual550000200.000
      Expected From Contact →0.280.000.000.280.056
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-04-09Groundout7%93%
      2024-04-09Strikeout
      2023-06-09Strikeout
      2023-06-09Sac Bunt
      2023-06-09GIDP21%79%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.