Matchup Machine

Martin Maldonado

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matchup for Tanner Houck

37th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for M. Maldonado

231st out of 567 (Best 42%)

Moderate advantage for Houck
5

Model Prediction

Martin Maldonado has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.9% higher than Maldonado's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.3%19.4%3.1%3.8%12.5%7.9%31.9%
Maldonado+1.9+0.2-0.3-1.1+1.6+1.6-4.5
Houck-4.5-2.7+1.0-0.6-3.1-1.8+12.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Martin Maldonado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Maldonado has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. Martin Maldonado has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

22.0% of Martin Maldonado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.5% higher than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.5% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.1% +0.2% 44%         In Play -11.4% +1.4% 39%         On Base -11.0% +0.4% 31%         Hit -9.9% +0.3% 14%         Single -5.8% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B -5.4% +0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.9%

History

Martin Maldonado has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →0.950.000.010.940.477
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-22Single1%94%5%
2023-08-22Sac Bunt

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.