Matchup Machine

Martin Maldonado

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

42nd out of 436 (Best 10%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for M. Maldonado

82nd out of 567 (Best 15%)

Leans in favor of Flaherty
1

Model Prediction

Martin Maldonado has a 28.5% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 3.1% higher than Maldonado's typical expectations, and 5.7% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.5%20.9%4.8%5.4%10.7%7.6%34.6%
Maldonado+3.1+1.8+1.5+0.5-0.2+1.3-1.8
Flaherty-5.7-2.3+1.2+0.2-3.8-3.3+11.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Martin Maldonado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Maldonado has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Martin Maldonado has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

22.0% of Martin Maldonado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.5% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.5% +5.8% 5%         Walk -1.1% -1.5% 44%         In Play -11.4% -4.3% 39%         On Base -11.0% -2.0% 31%         Hit -9.9% -0.5% 14%         Single -5.8% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -5.4% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.2%

History

Martin Maldonado has 2 plate appearances against Jack Flaherty in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.001
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-09Pop Out100%
2023-08-09Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.