Matchup Machine

Martin Maldonado

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matchup for Martin Perez

21st out of 436 (Best 6%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for M. Maldonado

74th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Leans in favor of Maldonado
1

Model Prediction

Martin Maldonado has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.0% higher than Maldonado's typical expectations, and 6.2% lower than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.4%22.2%4.2%5.3%12.7%6.3%28.0%
Maldonado+3.0+3.0+0.8+0.4+1.80.0-8.4
Perez-6.2-3.1+1.10.0-4.2-3.1+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Martin Maldonado is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Maldonado has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Martin Maldonado has a D grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

22.0% of Martin Maldonado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 12.5% higher than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 9%         Strikeout +12.5% -6.1% 5%         Walk -1.1% -0.3% 44%         In Play -11.4% +6.4% 39%         On Base -11.0% +5.9% 31%         Hit -9.9% +6.3% 14%         Single -5.8% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -5.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -0.6%

History

Martin Maldonado has 11 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 10 with a home run, a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual11102101310.200
Expected From Contact →2.340.920.051.380.234
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-10-19Groundout24%76%
2023-07-03Walk
2023-04-14Home Run92%4%4%
2023-04-14Forceout10%89%
2022-09-05Single91%8%
2022-09-05GIDP7%93%
2022-09-05Strikeout
2022-05-20Sac Bunt
2022-05-20Groundout5%95%
2022-04-28Strikeout
2022-04-28Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.