Matchup Machine

Charlie Blackmon

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

384th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for C. Blackmon

343rd out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Blackmon
5

Model Prediction

Charlie Blackmon has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.3% lower than Blackmon's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%23.6%2.4%6.3%14.9%8.4%18.2%
Blackmon-1.3-0.4-0.4+1.0-1.0-0.9-1.2
Weathers+2.1+2.1+0.3+0.8+1.0+0.0-6.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Charlie Blackmon is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Blackmon has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Charlie Blackmon has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

10.9% of Charlie Blackmon's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.3% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -6.3% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.6% -0.6% 37%         In Play +5.7% +2.7% 39%         On Base +3.0% +0.9% 31%         Hit +2.4% +1.5% 14%         Single +1.2% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.2% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years