Matchup Machine

David Peralta

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for David Peralta

301st out of 567 (Worst 47%)

Leans in favor of Peralta
2

Model Prediction

David Peralta has a 31.5% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.1% higher than Peralta's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.5%25.3%1.8%5.9%17.6%6.3%21.3%
Peralta-0.1+0.8-0.5+1.1+0.2-0.9-1.5
Weathers+1.7+3.7-0.3+0.4+3.7-2.1-3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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David Peralta is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Peralta has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. David Peralta has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of David Peralta's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -2.1% 5%         Walk -1.3% -0.6% 37%         In Play +6.2% +2.7% 39%         On Base +4.4% +0.9% 31%         Hit +5.7% +1.5% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +1.2% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years