Matchup Machine

David Peralta

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matchup for Dean Kremer

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Dean Kremer

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matchup for David Peralta

263rd out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
3

Model Prediction

David Peralta has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 0.7% higher than Peralta's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Kremer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%23.9%2.4%4.6%16.9%8.4%21.5%
Peralta+0.7-0.5+0.2-0.2-0.5+1.2-1.4
Kremer+2.2+3.4-0.4+0.3+3.5-1.2-3.7

Handedness and Release Point

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David Peralta is better vs right-handed pitching. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Peralta has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. David Peralta has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
38%
   Cutter (R)
25%
   Curve (R)
12%
   Sinker (R)
11%
   Changeup (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of David Peralta's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -0.3% 5%         Walk -1.3% +0.8% 37%         In Play +6.2% -0.4% 39%         On Base +4.4% +1.3% 31%         Hit +5.7% +0.6% 14%         Single +2.9% -0.3% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +0.1% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.8%

History

David Peralta has 5 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5 with 2 strikeouts.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552002200.400
Expected From Contact →1.720.000.211.510.343
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-07-27Strikeout
2024-07-27Single3%87%10%
2024-07-27Strikeout
2023-07-19Single18%49%33%
2023-07-19Groundout15%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.