Matchup Machine

David Peralta

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matchup for Tanner Houck

284th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Tanner Houck

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matchup for David Peralta

264th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Moderate advantage for Peralta
3

Model Prediction

David Peralta has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Tanner Houck, which is 1.5% higher than Peralta's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Houck.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.1%24.5%1.6%4.3%18.6%8.6%18.1%
Peralta+1.5+0.1-0.6-0.6+1.3+1.4-4.8
Houck+1.3+2.4-0.5-0.1+3.0-1.1-1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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David Peralta is better vs right-handed pitching. Tanner Houck is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Peralta has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tanner Houck throws a Slider 40% of the time. David Peralta has a B grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
40%
   Sinker (R)
28%
   Splitter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of David Peralta's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Tanner Houck strikes out 14.2% of the batters he faces, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -1.6% 5%         Walk -1.3% +0.2% 37%         In Play +6.2% +1.4% 39%         On Base +4.4% +0.4% 31%         Hit +5.7% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.9% +0.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% +0.7% 3%         Home Run -0.3% -0.9%

History

David Peralta has 2 plate appearances against Tanner Houck in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.040.000.000.040.020
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-08-27Strikeout
2023-08-27Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.