Matchup Machine

David Peralta

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matchup for Shelby Miller

269th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Shelby Miller

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matchup for David Peralta

317th out of 567 (Worst 44%)

Leans in favor of Peralta
2

Model Prediction

David Peralta has a 30.6% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 1.1% lower than Peralta's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.6%23.8%2.8%5.2%15.8%6.8%23.0%
Peralta-1.1-0.7+0.6+0.3-1.6-0.4+0.2
Miller+1.3+2.6-0.9+0.2+3.3-1.3-1.7

Handedness and Release Point

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David Peralta is better vs right-handed pitching. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Peralta has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. David Peralta has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Slider (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   Splitter (R)
9%
   Cutter (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of David Peralta's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +0.3% 5%         Walk -1.3% +0.8% 37%         In Play +6.2% -1.1% 39%         On Base +4.4% -4.9% 31%         Hit +5.7% -5.7% 14%         Single +2.9% -3.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.1% -2.8% 3%         Home Run -0.3% +0.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years