Matchup Machine

Nolan Gorman

matchup for Bowden Francis

40th out of 669 (Best 10%)

Bowden Francis

matchup for Nolan Gorman

510th out of 569 (Worst 11%)

Extreme advantage for Francis

Nolan Gorman has a 22.0% chance of reaching base vs Bowden Francis, which is 4.6% lower than Gorman's typical expectations, and 5.2% lower than batters facing Francis.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.0%	15.3%	4.0%	2.6%	8.6%	6.7%	37.5%
Gorman	-4.6	-3.3	-0.7	-1.1	-1.5	-1.3	+2.0
Francis	-5.2	-2.3	-0.1	-3.2	+0.9	-2.9	+6.1

Nolan Gorman is better vs right-handed pitching. Bowden Francis is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Gorman has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Bowden Francis throws a 4-seam fastball 52% of the time. Nolan Gorman has a D- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

52%

Curve (R)

22%

Splitter (R)

13%

Slider (R)

11%

15% of Bowden Francis's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Gorman has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+4%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

44% of Bowden Francis's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Nolan Gorman has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 44%

+24%

Slow Lob 22%

+20%

High Ride 29%

+19%

This chart shows location tendencies (vertical on the left, horizontal on the right). The blue bars indicate where Bowden Francis throws MORE OFTEN than the league average while purple bars indicate areas he throws LESS OFTEN. Grades represent how well Nolan Gorman has performed against pitches thrown in each area.

+0%

+1%

+3%

+2%

+1%

-2%

-1%

+0%

+4%

+1%

+0%

22.9% of Nolan Gorman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 14.1% higher than the league average. Bowden Francis strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Strikeout +14.1% -0.8% 4%

Walk +0.7% -2.9% 46%

In Play -14.8% +3.6% 39%

On Base -6.4% -7.1% 31%

Hit -7.2% -4.2% 14%

Single -5.1% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B -4.7% -2.5% 3%

Home Run +2.6% +1.2%

25.7% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.7% lower than the league average. Bowden Francis induces Standard Grounders at a 30.8% rate, which is 3.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.7% -3.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -2.7% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +1.1% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +3.0% -0.2% 3%

Likely Homer +3.2% -1.2% 1%

No Doubter +1.8% +1.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.7% +2.6% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +3.7%

30.8% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 6.5% higher than the league average. 22.2% of batted balls allowed by Bowden Francis are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +4.0% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -5.3% -5.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.4% +6.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.8% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +6.5% -2.1%

15.6% of Nolan Gorman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.2% higher than the league average. 8.8% of batted balls allowed by Nolan Gorman are hit at this angle, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%