Last Updated: 04:47 PM
Ballpark Pal simulates every game thousands of times. Below are the average outcomes for today's starting pitchers.
| Team | Pitcher | H | Opp | Inn | PAs | Rs | Hs | Ks | BB | W | L | Avg | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Avg | 18+ | 20+ | 22+ | 24+ | 26+ | 28+ | 30+ | 32+ | 34+ | 36+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ | 11 | 12 | 13+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ | X |
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| DET | Reese Olson | R | LAD | 4.8 | 21.4 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | .20 | .39 | 4.8 | .02 | .05 | .12 | .22 | .31 | .21 | .05 | .00 | .00 | 21.4 | 2.9 | .10 | .17 | .21 | .17 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 4.9 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .19 | .19 | .17 | .10 | .05 | .03 | .02 | 4.7 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .15 | .17 | .17 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.5 | .08 | .20 | .27 | .23 | .14 | .07 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| MIL | Adrian Houser | R | STL | 5.3 | 22.0 | 2.3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 2.0 | .36 | .25 | 5.3 | .02 | .04 | .07 | .16 | .31 | .29 | .10 | .01 | .00 | 22.0 | 2.3 | .18 | .21 | .22 | .15 | .11 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 4.6 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .15 | .20 | .19 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 5.9 | .01 | .03 | .04 | .08 | .13 | .15 | .18 | .14 | .11 | .07 | .07 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.0 | .13 | .27 | .28 | .20 | .09 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| PIT | Mitch Keller | R | CHC | 5.6 | 24.2 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 2.2 | .27 | .36 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .12 | .26 | .33 | .15 | .03 | .00 | 24.2 | 3.1 | .09 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .10 | .07 | .03 | 5.7 | .00 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .15 | .18 | .18 | .16 | .10 | .06 | .04 | 5.3 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .16 | .17 | .16 | .13 | .08 | .05 | .04 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.2 | .12 | .22 | .28 | .20 | .12 | .05 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| SF | Logan Webb | R | ARI | 5.8 | 24.3 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 | .31 | .33 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .26 | .36 | .18 | .03 | .01 | 24.3 | 3.0 | .09 | .16 | .20 | .18 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .03 | 6.2 | .00 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .15 | .19 | .17 | .13 | .07 | .06 | 3.6 | .03 | .09 | .18 | .20 | .20 | .14 | .10 | .04 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.4 | .23 | .34 | .27 | .12 | .04 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| COL | Chase Anderson | R | SD | 4.9 | 22.0 | 3.1 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.7 | .23 | .39 | 4.9 | .03 | .05 | .11 | .19 | .31 | .23 | .07 | .01 | .00 | 22.0 | 3.1 | .09 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .07 | .03 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .13 | .19 | .19 | .18 | .11 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 4.4 | .03 | .06 | .12 | .16 | .17 | .17 | .12 | .09 | .05 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.7 | .06 | .16 | .24 | .24 | .16 | .09 | .03 | .03 | ||||||||||
| LAA | Reid Detmers | L | TB | 5.4 | 23.1 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 2.2 | .23 | .42 | 5.4 | .02 | .03 | .06 | .15 | .31 | .30 | .12 | .01 | .00 | 23.1 | 2.9 | .11 | .17 | .18 | .19 | .15 | .10 | .05 | .03 | 5.2 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .12 | .17 | .18 | .18 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 5.0 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .13 | .16 | .18 | .16 | .10 | .07 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.2 | .10 | .23 | .28 | .21 | .11 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| TOR | Kevin Gausman | R | NYY | 5.7 | 24.4 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 2.7 | .28 | .38 | 5.7 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .11 | .24 | .35 | .18 | .03 | .00 | 24.4 | 2.9 | .11 | .16 | .19 | .17 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .04 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .14 | .19 | .20 | .16 | .12 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 6.8 | .00 | .02 | .03 | .05 | .08 | .12 | .16 | .15 | .14 | .11 | .14 | .04 | .02 | .01 | 2.7 | .06 | .17 | .24 | .25 | .16 | .08 | .04 | .04 | ||||||||||
| NYM | Kodai Senga | R | MIA | 5.8 | 24.7 | 2.9 | 4.8 | 7.7 | 3.0 | .24 | .40 | 5.8 | .02 | .02 | .04 | .10 | .24 | .34 | .19 | .04 | .01 | 24.7 | 2.9 | .12 | .18 | .19 | .17 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 4.8 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .14 | .19 | .20 | .16 | .11 | .05 | .03 | .01 | 7.7 | .01 | .01 | .02 | .03 | .06 | .09 | .12 | .13 | .14 | .14 | .26 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 3.0 | .05 | .14 | .21 | .25 | .18 | .10 | .05 | .05 | ||||||||||
| SEA | George Kirby | R | OAK | 5.9 | 23.7 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 1.6 | .44 | .23 | 5.9 | .00 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .26 | .35 | .21 | .04 | .01 | 23.7 | 2.2 | .17 | .23 | .22 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .09 | .13 | .18 | .20 | .15 | .11 | .07 | .03 | .01 | 6.9 | .01 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .13 | .15 | .15 | .15 | .10 | .15 | .04 | .02 | .01 | 1.6 | .20 | .34 | .27 | .13 | .05 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| CLE | Lucas Giolito | R | KC | 5.9 | 24.3 | 2.7 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 2.3 | .34 | .30 | 5.9 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .23 | .36 | .20 | .04 | .01 | 24.3 | 2.7 | .14 | .18 | .20 | .17 | .13 | .09 | .06 | .02 | 5.0 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .13 | .18 | .19 | .17 | .11 | .07 | .03 | .02 | 6.0 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .12 | .15 | .17 | .16 | .11 | .07 | .08 | .02 | .01 | .01 | 2.3 | .10 | .24 | .28 | .21 | .11 | .05 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| MIN | Bailey Ober | R | CIN | 5.5 | 22.9 | 2.7 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 1.6 | .28 | .33 | 5.5 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .29 | .32 | .13 | .02 | .00 | 22.9 | 2.7 | .11 | .19 | .20 | .18 | .14 | .10 | .05 | .02 | 5.1 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .18 | .19 | .17 | .13 | .06 | .04 | .02 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .10 | .15 | .17 | .16 | .13 | .10 | .06 | .05 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 1.6 | .20 | .32 | .28 | .13 | .05 | .02 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| BOS | Brayan Bello | R | TEX | 5.6 | 24.0 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 2.2 | .28 | .37 | 5.6 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .28 | .34 | .15 | .03 | .00 | 24.0 | 3.1 | .10 | .15 | .19 | .17 | .15 | .11 | .07 | .04 | 5.6 | .00 | .01 | .04 | .10 | .16 | .18 | .19 | .15 | .10 | .04 | .03 | 4.8 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .18 | .19 | .14 | .11 | .06 | .03 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.2 | .11 | .24 | .27 | .20 | .12 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| BAL | Kyle Bradish | R | HOU | 5.8 | 24.5 | 3.0 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 2.3 | .34 | .31 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .24 | .32 | .20 | .05 | .01 | 24.5 | 3.0 | .09 | .17 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 5.3 | .00 | .03 | .06 | .11 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 5.7 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .10 | .15 | .15 | .15 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .06 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.3 | .10 | .22 | .28 | .22 | .11 | .05 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| PHI | Aaron Nola | R | ATL | 5.8 | 24.6 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 2.0 | .33 | .33 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .24 | .34 | .21 | .03 | .01 | 24.6 | 3.1 | .09 | .15 | .19 | .18 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .04 | 5.5 | .01 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .16 | .19 | .18 | .15 | .08 | .05 | .03 | 4.9 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .16 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .06 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.0 | .13 | .26 | .29 | .18 | .09 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| CHW | Michael Kopech | R | WAS | 4.8 | 21.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.9 | .24 | .36 | 4.8 | .03 | .05 | .12 | .22 | .32 | .20 | .05 | .00 | .00 | 21.9 | 3.1 | .08 | .15 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .03 | 5.0 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .12 | .07 | .03 | .02 | 3.5 | .04 | .10 | .19 | .21 | .19 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.9 | .05 | .16 | .22 | .23 | .18 | .11 | .04 | .04 | ||||||||||
| LAD | Bobby Miller | R | DET | 5.7 | 23.2 | 2.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 2.0 | .40 | .21 | 5.7 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .12 | .26 | .35 | .16 | .03 | .00 | 23.2 | 2.4 | .15 | .21 | .22 | .16 | .12 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 4.7 | .01 | .03 | .09 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 5.1 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .12 | .16 | .18 | .17 | .12 | .07 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.0 | .13 | .28 | .28 | .19 | .08 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| STL | Zack Thompson | L | MIL | 4.7 | 20.4 | 2.3 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 2.3 | .21 | .32 | 4.7 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .24 | .32 | .17 | .04 | .01 | .00 | 20.4 | 2.3 | .19 | .20 | .21 | .17 | .11 | .06 | .04 | .02 | 4.4 | .02 | .06 | .11 | .17 | .19 | .17 | .14 | .08 | .04 | .01 | .01 | 4.7 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .13 | .17 | .17 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.3 | .10 | .22 | .27 | .22 | .12 | .06 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| CHC | Justin Steele | L | PIT | 5.8 | 24.2 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 7.2 | 1.5 | .35 | .26 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .24 | .35 | .20 | .04 | .01 | 24.2 | 2.6 | .12 | .19 | .22 | .19 | .12 | .08 | .04 | .03 | 5.7 | .00 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .14 | .18 | .18 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .04 | 7.2 | .00 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .11 | .14 | .15 | .14 | .11 | .18 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 1.5 | .20 | .33 | .27 | .13 | .05 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| ARI | Merrill Kelly | R | SF | 5.8 | 24.5 | 2.8 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 2.4 | .31 | .30 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .24 | .35 | .19 | .04 | .01 | 24.5 | 2.8 | .12 | .18 | .20 | .17 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 5.2 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .12 | .17 | .19 | .18 | .12 | .08 | .03 | .02 | 6.0 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .08 | .14 | .15 | .16 | .14 | .11 | .07 | .07 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.4 | .08 | .21 | .26 | .23 | .14 | .05 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| SD | Seth Lugo | R | COL | 5.8 | 24.1 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 6.1 | 2.0 | .39 | .24 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .25 | .34 | .21 | .04 | .01 | 24.1 | 2.6 | .13 | .19 | .22 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 5.0 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .19 | .19 | .16 | .12 | .06 | .03 | .02 | 6.1 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .07 | .12 | .15 | .18 | .14 | .12 | .08 | .08 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.0 | .12 | .28 | .28 | .18 | .09 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| TB | Aaron Civale | R | LAA | 5.9 | 23.6 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 7.9 | 1.5 | .40 | .23 | 5.9 | .01 | .02 | .03 | .08 | .24 | .37 | .21 | .04 | .01 | 23.6 | 2.2 | .19 | .22 | .21 | .16 | .12 | .05 | .03 | .02 | 4.7 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .15 | .20 | .18 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .03 | .01 | 7.9 | .01 | .01 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .08 | .12 | .15 | .15 | .13 | .26 | .08 | .04 | .03 | 1.5 | .22 | .33 | .26 | .12 | .06 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| NYY | Michael King | R | TOR | 4.4 | 18.3 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 5.5 | 1.8 | .27 | .23 | 4.4 | .06 | .12 | .13 | .20 | .25 | .16 | .05 | .01 | .00 | 18.3 | 1.9 | .26 | .23 | .20 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .03 | .01 | 3.7 | .04 | .12 | .16 | .18 | .18 | .14 | .09 | .06 | .03 | .01 | .01 | 5.5 | .02 | .05 | .08 | .10 | .12 | .14 | .13 | .12 | .09 | .07 | .08 | .03 | .01 | .00 | 1.8 | .19 | .28 | .26 | .17 | .07 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| MIA | Eury Perez | R | NYM | 5.5 | 22.1 | 1.9 | 3.7 | 7.2 | 2.0 | .36 | .21 | 5.5 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .13 | .31 | .30 | .15 | .02 | .00 | 22.1 | 1.9 | .22 | .24 | .21 | .15 | .10 | .04 | .02 | .01 | 3.7 | .02 | .08 | .17 | .20 | .21 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 7.2 | .01 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .07 | .11 | .14 | .15 | .15 | .12 | .18 | .05 | .03 | .01 | 2.0 | .12 | .26 | .28 | .20 | .10 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| OAK | Joey Estes | R | SEA | 4.9 | 20.8 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 2.1 | .18 | .39 | 4.9 | .02 | .06 | .09 | .22 | .32 | .22 | .06 | .01 | .00 | 20.8 | 2.5 | .15 | .20 | .20 | .17 | .12 | .07 | .05 | .02 | 4.4 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .16 | .21 | .18 | .14 | .08 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 4.1 | .03 | .07 | .14 | .18 | .18 | .16 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.1 | .12 | .25 | .29 | .20 | .09 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| KC | Zack Greinke | R | CLE | 5.4 | 22.7 | 2.6 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.3 | .27 | .31 | 5.4 | .02 | .04 | .07 | .15 | .28 | .29 | .13 | .02 | .00 | 22.7 | 2.6 | .14 | .19 | .21 | .17 | .13 | .09 | .04 | .02 | 5.7 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .13 | .17 | .16 | .14 | .11 | .07 | .05 | 2.8 | .07 | .16 | .23 | .22 | .16 | .09 | .04 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.3 | .25 | .36 | .24 | .10 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| CIN | Hunter Greene | R | MIN | 5.6 | 23.4 | 2.5 | 4.3 | 7.1 | 2.7 | .30 | .27 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .10 | .28 | .35 | .15 | .02 | .00 | 23.4 | 2.5 | .15 | .21 | .21 | .18 | .12 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 4.3 | .01 | .05 | .12 | .18 | .21 | .18 | .13 | .08 | .03 | .01 | .01 | 7.1 | .00 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .08 | .10 | .14 | .15 | .14 | .12 | .19 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 2.7 | .06 | .16 | .25 | .24 | .16 | .09 | .03 | .03 | ||||||||||
| TEX | Jon Gray | R | BOS | 5.8 | 24.1 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 6.3 | 2.1 | .34 | .27 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .25 | .31 | .20 | .05 | .01 | 24.1 | 2.7 | .13 | .18 | .20 | .19 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 5.2 | .01 | .02 | .07 | .12 | .16 | .19 | .17 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 6.3 | .01 | .02 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .14 | .16 | .14 | .14 | .08 | .10 | .03 | .02 | .01 | 2.1 | .12 | .26 | .27 | .21 | .09 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| HOU | C. Javier | R | BAL | 5.3 | 22.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 2.4 | .27 | .32 | 5.3 | .02 | .03 | .07 | .15 | .32 | .29 | .11 | .01 | .00 | 22.7 | 2.9 | .11 | .18 | .19 | .18 | .14 | .10 | .05 | .03 | 4.6 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .15 | .20 | .18 | .16 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 4.6 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .15 | .19 | .17 | .14 | .09 | .06 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.4 | .08 | .21 | .26 | .22 | .14 | .06 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| ATL | Bryce Elder | R | PHI | 5.5 | 23.4 | 2.9 | 5.0 | 4.1 | 2.3 | .29 | .31 | 5.5 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .13 | .29 | .32 | .13 | .03 | .00 | 23.4 | 2.9 | .11 | .17 | .19 | .17 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 5.0 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .17 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .01 | 4.1 | .03 | .07 | .13 | .18 | .19 | .17 | .11 | .06 | .04 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.3 | .09 | .23 | .28 | .21 | .11 | .05 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| WAS | Josiah Gray | R | CHW | 5.3 | 22.4 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 2.4 | .35 | .23 | 5.3 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .15 | .31 | .28 | .11 | .01 | .00 | 22.4 | 2.5 | .15 | .20 | .19 | .18 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 4.6 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .14 | .20 | .19 | .14 | .10 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 4.8 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .18 | .17 | .14 | .11 | .06 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.4 | .08 | .23 | .26 | .22 | .13 | .06 | .02 | .02 |