Last Updated: 05:11 PM
Ballpark Pal simulates every game thousands of times. Below are the average outcomes for today's starting pitchers.
| Team | Pitcher | H | Opp | Inn | PAs | Rs | Hs | Ks | BB | W | L | Avg | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | Avg | 18+ | 20+ | 22+ | 24+ | 26+ | 28+ | 30+ | 32+ | 34+ | 36+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10+ | 11 | 12 | 13+ | Avg | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6+ | X |
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| LAD | Emmet Sheehan | R | COL | 5.2 | 21.8 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 2.3 | .45 | .17 | 5.2 | .02 | .03 | .07 | .18 | .33 | .27 | .09 | .01 | .00 | 21.8 | 2.4 | .15 | .20 | .21 | .18 | .12 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 4.0 | .02 | .07 | .13 | .20 | .19 | .18 | .11 | .06 | .03 | .01 | .00 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .12 | .18 | .15 | .14 | .11 | .06 | .07 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.3 | .10 | .22 | .27 | .21 | .13 | .06 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| HOU | Framber Valdez | L | SEA | 5.9 | 25.3 | 3.1 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 2.8 | .30 | .36 | 5.9 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .23 | .34 | .19 | .05 | .01 | 25.3 | 3.1 | .08 | .16 | .19 | .18 | .16 | .10 | .07 | .04 | 5.4 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .15 | .20 | .20 | .12 | .09 | .04 | .03 | 5.8 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .09 | .13 | .14 | .17 | .14 | .10 | .07 | .08 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 2.8 | .06 | .16 | .25 | .24 | .16 | .08 | .04 | .04 | ||||||||||
| STL | Zack Thompson | L | MIL | 4.6 | 20.3 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 2.1 | .20 | .40 | 4.6 | .03 | .06 | .13 | .26 | .32 | .15 | .03 | .00 | .00 | 20.3 | 2.7 | .13 | .19 | .19 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .04 | .03 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .14 | .18 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .06 | .03 | .02 | 4.4 | .02 | .06 | .11 | .17 | .19 | .16 | .13 | .08 | .05 | .02 | .02 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.1 | .13 | .26 | .27 | .20 | .10 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| OAK | Joey Estes | R | MIN | 4.9 | 20.7 | 2.6 | 4.6 | 3.8 | 1.8 | .25 | .33 | 4.9 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .22 | .32 | .20 | .06 | .01 | .00 | 20.7 | 2.6 | .14 | .19 | .21 | .19 | .12 | .07 | .04 | .03 | 4.6 | .01 | .05 | .09 | .16 | .18 | .19 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 3.8 | .03 | .09 | .15 | .20 | .19 | .16 | .09 | .05 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.8 | .17 | .29 | .26 | .17 | .08 | .02 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| MIA | B. Garrett | L | NYM | 5.6 | 23.2 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | .39 | .27 | 5.6 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .28 | .33 | .15 | .03 | .01 | 23.2 | 2.5 | .14 | .20 | .21 | .19 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 5.3 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .12 | .15 | .18 | .17 | .14 | .08 | .04 | .03 | 4.3 | .02 | .06 | .12 | .17 | .19 | .18 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.5 | .21 | .33 | .26 | .13 | .04 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| CHC | J. Taillon | R | ATL | 5.7 | 24.0 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 1.8 | .27 | .39 | 5.7 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .11 | .26 | .33 | .17 | .03 | .01 | 24.0 | 3.1 | .08 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .16 | .11 | .07 | .03 | 5.6 | .00 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .16 | .19 | .17 | .15 | .10 | .05 | .03 | 5.2 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .16 | .17 | .16 | .12 | .08 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 1.8 | .14 | .30 | .28 | .18 | .08 | .02 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| NYY | Gerrit Cole | R | TOR | 5.4 | 22.9 | 2.8 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 1.6 | .32 | .30 | 5.4 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .13 | .32 | .31 | .12 | .02 | .00 | 22.9 | 2.8 | .12 | .18 | .19 | .20 | .13 | .10 | .04 | .03 | 5.4 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .16 | .19 | .17 | .14 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 5.4 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .11 | .15 | .17 | .18 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .04 | .01 | .01 | .00 | 1.6 | .19 | .33 | .27 | .15 | .06 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| KC | J. Bowlan | R | DET | 4.7 | 20.5 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 | .19 | .38 | 4.7 | .03 | .07 | .14 | .23 | .33 | .17 | .04 | .00 | .00 | 20.5 | 2.7 | .13 | .18 | .20 | .18 | .14 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 4.9 | .01 | .04 | .10 | .13 | .18 | .18 | .16 | .10 | .07 | .03 | .01 | 3.7 | .03 | .09 | .16 | .20 | .20 | .14 | .10 | .05 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.1 | .13 | .25 | .28 | .19 | .10 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| PIT | Johan Oviedo | R | PHI | 5.6 | 24.2 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 3.4 | .30 | .35 | 5.6 | .02 | .03 | .06 | .13 | .26 | .30 | .17 | .03 | .01 | 24.2 | 2.7 | .14 | .18 | .19 | .18 | .14 | .08 | .05 | .02 | 4.6 | .01 | .05 | .10 | .16 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 5.5 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .10 | .15 | .16 | .16 | .12 | .09 | .06 | .05 | .01 | .01 | .00 | 3.4 | .03 | .10 | .16 | .23 | .21 | .15 | .08 | .08 | ||||||||||
| WAS | Patrick Corbin | L | BAL | 5.6 | 24.1 | 3.1 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 2.3 | .25 | .40 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .12 | .27 | .34 | .15 | .03 | .00 | 24.1 | 3.1 | .09 | .15 | .19 | .19 | .14 | .11 | .07 | .03 | 5.5 | .00 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .15 | .18 | .18 | .15 | .09 | .04 | .03 | 4.1 | .02 | .08 | .14 | .17 | .20 | .16 | .11 | .07 | .04 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.3 | .10 | .22 | .27 | .22 | .12 | .05 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| ARI | Brandon Pfaadt | R | CHW | 6.0 | 23.9 | 2.2 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 1.4 | .47 | .19 | 6.0 | .01 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .23 | .33 | .23 | .05 | .01 | 23.9 | 2.2 | .19 | .23 | .20 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .04 | .01 | 5.0 | .01 | .04 | .07 | .13 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .11 | .08 | .03 | .02 | 5.6 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .16 | .17 | .16 | .13 | .10 | .05 | .06 | .02 | .01 | .00 | 1.4 | .24 | .34 | .25 | .13 | .04 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| CIN | Andrew Abbott | L | CLE | 5.5 | 23.3 | 2.5 | 4.9 | 5.5 | 2.3 | .39 | .25 | 5.5 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .13 | .27 | .34 | .14 | .02 | .00 | 23.3 | 2.5 | .14 | .20 | .22 | .17 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .14 | .19 | .19 | .16 | .12 | .06 | .02 | .02 | 5.5 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .10 | .14 | .18 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .05 | .02 | .00 | .00 | 2.3 | .08 | .22 | .27 | .22 | .13 | .05 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| TB | Tyler Glasnow | R | BOS | 5.8 | 24.1 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 6.6 | 2.1 | .36 | .28 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .24 | .34 | .20 | .04 | .01 | 24.1 | 2.5 | .15 | .22 | .21 | .16 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 5.0 | .01 | .02 | .07 | .14 | .16 | .19 | .18 | .12 | .07 | .03 | .02 | 6.6 | .01 | .01 | .04 | .05 | .10 | .14 | .15 | .14 | .14 | .10 | .13 | .04 | .02 | .01 | 2.1 | .12 | .26 | .29 | .18 | .10 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| TEX | Dane Dunning | R | LAA | 5.7 | 24.4 | 3.0 | 5.5 | 5.6 | 2.3 | .38 | .28 | 5.7 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .10 | .26 | .34 | .17 | .03 | .01 | 24.4 | 3.0 | .10 | .15 | .20 | .19 | .14 | .10 | .06 | .03 | 5.5 | .00 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .16 | .17 | .18 | .14 | .09 | .04 | .04 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .10 | .14 | .18 | .15 | .13 | .10 | .06 | .06 | .02 | .00 | .00 | 2.3 | .09 | .22 | .26 | .23 | .12 | .06 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| SD | Matt Waldron | R | SF | 5.2 | 21.7 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 1.7 | .37 | .25 | 5.2 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .18 | .32 | .26 | .09 | .01 | .00 | 21.7 | 2.4 | .17 | .21 | .20 | .17 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .01 | 4.9 | .01 | .04 | .07 | .14 | .17 | .18 | .17 | .11 | .07 | .03 | .01 | 4.6 | .02 | .05 | .10 | .16 | .19 | .16 | .14 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 1.7 | .17 | .32 | .27 | .16 | .05 | .02 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| MIA | Johnny Cueto | R | NYM | 5.4 | 22.6 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 2.0 | .30 | .33 | 5.4 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .15 | .29 | .30 | .12 | .02 | .00 | 22.6 | 2.8 | .11 | .18 | .19 | .18 | .15 | .10 | .05 | .03 | 4.8 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .11 | .06 | .02 | .01 | 4.2 | .02 | .07 | .12 | .17 | .20 | .17 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.0 | .13 | .27 | .27 | .19 | .10 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| COL | Noah Davis | R | LAD | 4.7 | 21.0 | 3.3 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 2.0 | .14 | .43 | 4.7 | .03 | .06 | .12 | .24 | .32 | .18 | .04 | .00 | .00 | 21.0 | 3.3 | .08 | .13 | .16 | .18 | .17 | .12 | .08 | .04 | 5.4 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .10 | .15 | .19 | .18 | .14 | .09 | .04 | .03 | 3.2 | .05 | .15 | .20 | .20 | .18 | .11 | .07 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.0 | .13 | .27 | .29 | .19 | .09 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| SEA | Bryce Miller | R | HOU | 5.5 | 22.8 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 3.9 | 1.7 | .32 | .28 | 5.5 | .02 | .03 | .06 | .15 | .27 | .30 | .14 | .02 | .00 | 22.8 | 2.6 | .13 | .20 | .21 | .17 | .13 | .09 | .04 | .02 | 5.2 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .11 | .17 | .19 | .18 | .11 | .08 | .05 | .02 | 3.9 | .03 | .08 | .15 | .19 | .20 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.7 | .18 | .33 | .26 | .16 | .06 | .02 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| MIL | Wade Miley | L | STL | 5.4 | 22.0 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.9 | .40 | .20 | 5.4 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .14 | .31 | .30 | .12 | .01 | .00 | 22.0 | 2.1 | .20 | .23 | .22 | .15 | .10 | .05 | .03 | .02 | 4.4 | .01 | .06 | .10 | .16 | .20 | .19 | .13 | .08 | .05 | .01 | .01 | 3.9 | .02 | .07 | .16 | .19 | .20 | .15 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.9 | .14 | .29 | .28 | .18 | .08 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| MIN | Pablo Lopez | R | OAK | 5.9 | 24.5 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 7.3 | 2.0 | .35 | .27 | 5.9 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .22 | .36 | .21 | .04 | .01 | 24.5 | 2.7 | .12 | .19 | .21 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 5.2 | .00 | .02 | .06 | .13 | .17 | .19 | .17 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | 7.3 | .00 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .11 | .14 | .14 | .14 | .12 | .21 | .06 | .04 | .01 | 2.0 | .13 | .27 | .27 | .19 | .10 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| NYM | Joey Lucchesi | L | MIA | 5.1 | 21.9 | 2.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 2.2 | .23 | .36 | 5.1 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .18 | .31 | .25 | .09 | .02 | .00 | 21.9 | 2.7 | .13 | .18 | .20 | .19 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .03 | 4.7 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .14 | .20 | .18 | .16 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 3.3 | .04 | .13 | .19 | .22 | .18 | .12 | .07 | .03 | .01 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.2 | .11 | .24 | .28 | .21 | .11 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| ATL | Darius Vines | R | CHC | 5.8 | 23.7 | 2.6 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 1.7 | .36 | .26 | 5.8 | .01 | .03 | .04 | .10 | .26 | .32 | .18 | .04 | .01 | 23.7 | 2.6 | .14 | .18 | .23 | .17 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 5.3 | .01 | .02 | .06 | .12 | .16 | .18 | .17 | .13 | .08 | .05 | .03 | 3.4 | .03 | .12 | .18 | .22 | .19 | .13 | .07 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.7 | .18 | .30 | .28 | .15 | .06 | .02 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| TOR | Jose Berrios | R | NYY | 5.6 | 23.8 | 2.9 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 2.1 | .29 | .32 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .11 | .26 | .34 | .16 | .03 | .01 | 23.8 | 2.9 | .11 | .17 | .21 | .17 | .14 | .09 | .06 | .03 | 5.2 | .01 | .02 | .07 | .12 | .17 | .18 | .17 | .14 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 5.6 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .09 | .15 | .16 | .17 | .14 | .09 | .05 | .05 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.1 | .11 | .25 | .29 | .20 | .10 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| DET | Tarik Skubal | L | KC | 5.6 | 22.5 | 2.1 | 4.7 | 6.4 | 1.3 | .38 | .20 | 5.6 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .13 | .29 | .33 | .15 | .03 | .00 | 22.5 | 2.1 | .19 | .22 | .22 | .17 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 4.7 | .01 | .04 | .09 | .15 | .17 | .21 | .14 | .10 | .05 | .03 | .02 | 6.4 | .01 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .11 | .15 | .15 | .15 | .12 | .09 | .12 | .03 | .01 | .01 | 1.3 | .27 | .34 | .24 | .11 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| PHI | Ranger Suarez | L | PIT | 6.2 | 25.4 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 7.1 | 2.5 | .34 | .30 | 6.2 | .01 | .01 | .03 | .06 | .19 | .32 | .28 | .08 | .02 | 25.4 | 2.5 | .16 | .19 | .21 | .16 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 4.8 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .15 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 7.1 | .00 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .11 | .14 | .14 | .15 | .11 | .18 | .05 | .03 | .01 | 2.5 | .07 | .20 | .27 | .22 | .14 | .06 | .02 | .02 | ||||||||||
| BAL | G. Rodriguez | R | WAS | 5.8 | 24.1 | 2.4 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 1.6 | .38 | .24 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .09 | .24 | .36 | .20 | .04 | .01 | 24.1 | 2.4 | .16 | .21 | .21 | .17 | .11 | .08 | .04 | .02 | 5.5 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .14 | .19 | .18 | .14 | .09 | .05 | .03 | 5.2 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .11 | .16 | .17 | .17 | .12 | .08 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 1.6 | .20 | .34 | .25 | .15 | .05 | .01 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| CHW | Luis Patino | R | ARI | 4.9 | 21.6 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 | 2.7 | .16 | .43 | 4.9 | .02 | .06 | .11 | .21 | .31 | .20 | .07 | .01 | .00 | 21.6 | 2.8 | .12 | .17 | .20 | .18 | .15 | .09 | .05 | .03 | 4.8 | .01 | .04 | .08 | .14 | .18 | .19 | .16 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .02 | 3.7 | .03 | .09 | .16 | .19 | .20 | .16 | .09 | .05 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 2.7 | .07 | .17 | .25 | .24 | .16 | .07 | .03 | .03 | ||||||||||
| CLE | Shane Bieber | R | CIN | 5.8 | 24.6 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 2.1 | .25 | .39 | 5.8 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .10 | .24 | .34 | .20 | .05 | .01 | 24.6 | 3.0 | .09 | .17 | .19 | .19 | .13 | .10 | .07 | .03 | 5.4 | .00 | .02 | .05 | .11 | .16 | .18 | .20 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .03 | 7.3 | .00 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .07 | .10 | .12 | .15 | .15 | .11 | .21 | .06 | .04 | .02 | 2.1 | .11 | .25 | .28 | .20 | .11 | .04 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| BOS | Brayan Bello | R | TB | 5.7 | 24.1 | 2.7 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 2.0 | .26 | .35 | 5.7 | .01 | .02 | .05 | .12 | .26 | .34 | .16 | .03 | .01 | 24.1 | 2.7 | .13 | .19 | .20 | .18 | .12 | .09 | .05 | .03 | 5.6 | .00 | .02 | .05 | .09 | .14 | .19 | .18 | .15 | .10 | .05 | .04 | 5.2 | .01 | .03 | .07 | .12 | .17 | .18 | .17 | .13 | .06 | .04 | .03 | .01 | .00 | .00 | 2.0 | .14 | .27 | .28 | .19 | .09 | .03 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| LAA | G. Canning | R | TEX | 5.3 | 22.5 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 6.5 | 2.2 | .25 | .36 | 5.3 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .15 | .31 | .30 | .09 | .01 | .00 | 22.5 | 3.0 | .09 | .17 | .19 | .19 | .15 | .11 | .06 | .03 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .14 | .19 | .20 | .17 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 6.5 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .06 | .10 | .13 | .15 | .17 | .12 | .09 | .12 | .03 | .02 | .01 | 2.2 | .10 | .23 | .29 | .21 | .11 | .05 | .01 | .01 | ||||||||||
| SF | Sean Manaea | L | SD | 4.8 | 20.9 | 2.7 | 5.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | .23 | .35 | 4.8 | .03 | .05 | .12 | .22 | .33 | .18 | .05 | .00 | .00 | 20.9 | 2.7 | .14 | .18 | .20 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 5.2 | .00 | .03 | .07 | .11 | .15 | .18 | .17 | .13 | .08 | .04 | .03 | 4.3 | .02 | .07 | .12 | .17 | .17 | .18 | .12 | .08 | .04 | .02 | .01 | .00 | .00 | .00 | 1.7 | .17 | .31 | .28 | .17 | .06 | .02 | .00 | .00 | ||||||||||
| NYM | Kodai Senga | R | MIA | 5.9 | 24.9 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 6.8 | 2.8 | .32 | .30 | 5.9 | .01 | .02 | .04 | .08 | .24 | .35 | .21 | .04 | .01 | 24.9 | 2.7 | .12 | .20 | .20 | .18 | .13 | .09 | .05 | .02 | 4.9 | .01 | .03 | .08 | .14 | .19 | .20 | .16 | .10 | .06 | .03 | .01 | 6.8 | .01 | .01 | .03 | .05 | .08 | .13 | .16 | .14 | .14 | .11 | .15 | .05 | .02 | .01 | 2.8 | .05 | .17 | .24 | .23 | .16 | .09 | .04 | .04 |