Matchup Machine

Luis Robert

Worst 1% of matchups for J. Rutledge

Jackson Rutledge

Best 13% of matchups for Luis Robert

Extreme advantage for Robert

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	6.5%	5.0%	12.1%	8.9%	21.5%
MLB (+/-)	+3.7	+0.8	-1.8	-0.8	-3.7
Robert	+1.1	+0.6	-0.5	+0.3	-5.8
Rutledge	+3.5	+0.5	-1.2	+0.0	+0.6

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

6.5%

5.0%

12.1%

8.9%

21.5%

MLB (+/-)

+3.7

+0.8

-1.8

-0.8

-3.7

Robert

+1.1

+0.6

-0.5

+0.3

-5.8

Rutledge

+3.5

+0.5

-1.2

+0.0

+0.6

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	1	0	1	0	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			1.80	0.98	0.02	0.80			.450

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Pop Out				100%
2023-09-19	Home Run	98%	2%
2023-09-19	Single			80%	20%
2023-09-19	Caught Stealing 2B

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	62%	77	RHB vs RHP	52	48%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

62%

RHB vs RHP

48%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	60%	49	Fastball	66	59%
⭐⭐	45%	102	Breaking	32	27%
	17%	74	Offspeed	59	14%
			------------------
	63%	49	Four-Seam FB	48	43%
⭐⭐	66%	100	Slider	30	22%
	54%	6	Sinker	90	16%	⭐⭐
	62%	97	Changeup	57	14%
	58%	53	Curveball	29	5%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

60%

Fastball

59%

⭐⭐

45%

102

Breaking

27%

17%

Offspeed

14%

------------------

63%

Four-Seam FB

43%

⭐⭐

66%

100

Slider

22%

54%

Sinker

16%

⭐⭐

62%

Changeup

14%

58%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
78%	73	Away / Glove Side	55	16%
80%	98	Bottom of zone	92	14%
77%	28	Top of zone	43	13%
82%	30	In / Arm Side	82	10%	⭐
93%	86	Middle	78	8%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

78%

Away / Glove Side

16%

80%

Bottom of zone

14%

77%

Top of zone

13%

82%

In / Arm Side

10%

⭐

93%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	46%	94	Away / Glove Side	16	32%
	42%	34	Above the zone	33	27%
	52%	51	Below the zone	12	25%
	47%	1	In / Arm Side	9	15%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐⭐

46%

Away / Glove Side

32%

42%

Above the zone

27%

52%

Below the zone

25%

47%

In / Arm Side

15%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
61%	74	Batter Ahead	64	41%
68%	88	2 Strikes	56	29%
50%	-6	First Pitch	43	25%
65%	69	Batter Behind	50	20%
66%	66	3 Balls	79	17%
74%	74	Full Count	71	12%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

61%

Batter Ahead

41%

68%

2 Strikes

29%

50%

-6

First Pitch

25%

65%

Batter Behind

20%

66%

3 Balls

17%

74%

Full Count

12%