Matchup Machine

Oswald Peraza

Best 21% of matchups for Yusei Kikuchi

Yusei Kikuchi

Worst 26% of matchups for Oswald Peraza

Strong advantage for Kikuchi

-8

Model Prediction
Prediction	1.8%	3.8%	14.9%	4.6%	34.1%
MLB (+/-)	-1.0	-0.5	+1.0	-5.1	+8.9
Peraza	-0.1	+0.1	+0.9	-1.7	+2.8
Kikuchi	-1.1	-0.5	-0.0	-3.5	+5.0

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

1.8%

3.8%

14.9%

4.6%

34.1%

MLB (+/-)

-1.0

-0.5

+1.0

-5.1

+8.9

Peraza

-0.1

+0.1

+0.9

-1.7

+2.8

Kikuchi

-1.1

-0.5

-0.0

-3.5

+5.0

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000
Expected From Contact →			0.23	0.00	0.01	0.22			.058

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Flyout				99%
2023-04-21	Groundout			7%	92%
2023-04-21	Groundout			14%	86%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	45%	34	RHB vs LHP	87	79%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

45%

RHB vs LHP

79%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
28%	43	Breaking	69	45%
50%	28	Fastball	91	45%	⭐⭐
11%	38	Offspeed	50	10%
		------------------
45%	23	Four-Seam FB	69	45%	⭐
57%	40	Slider	38	27%
53%	18	Curveball	82	18%	⭐⭐
51%	38	Changeup	44	10%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

28%

Breaking

45%

50%

Fastball

45%

⭐⭐

11%

Offspeed

10%

------------------

45%

Four-Seam FB

45%

⭐

57%

Slider

27%

53%

Curveball

18%

⭐⭐

51%

Changeup

10%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
74%	51	Bottom of zone	70	14%
84%	53	Away / Arm Side	100	11%	⭐
77%	9	Top of zone	77	10%	⭐
66%	43	In / Glove Side	68	10%
55%	39	Middle	36	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

74%

Bottom of zone

14%

84%

Away / Arm Side

100

11%

⭐

77%

Top of zone

10%

⭐

66%

In / Glove Side

10%

55%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
36%	21	Below the zone	90	35%	⭐⭐
36%	55	Away / Arm Side	54	27%
20%	27	In / Glove Side	118	24%	⭐⭐
28%	20	Above the zone	74	23%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

36%

Below the zone

35%

⭐⭐

36%

Away / Arm Side

27%

20%

In / Glove Side

118

24%

⭐⭐

28%

Above the zone

23%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
52%	0	2 Strikes	69	30%	⭐
51%	0	Batter Behind	79	30%	⭐
61%	52	Batter Ahead	85	26%
44%	81	First Pitch	83	25%
55%	38	3 Balls	77	8%
58%	32	Full Count	59	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

52%

2 Strikes

30%

⭐

51%

Batter Behind

30%

⭐

61%

Batter Ahead

26%

44%

First Pitch

25%

55%

3 Balls

58%

Full Count