Matchup Machine

Isaac Paredes

Worst 9% of matchups for P. Sandoval

Patrick Sandoval

Best 29% of matchups for Isaac Paredes

Extreme advantage for Paredes

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.2%	4.8%	13.9%	12.2%	20.1%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	+0.6	-0.1	+2.5	-5.1
Paredes	+0.0	+0.1	+0.4	+2.4	-0.4
Sandoval	+1.0	+0.2	+0.1	+0.3	-4.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.2%

4.8%

13.9%

12.2%

20.1%

MLB (+/-)

+1.4

+0.6

-0.1

+2.5

-5.1

Paredes

+0.0

+0.1

+0.4

+2.4

-0.4

Sandoval

+1.0

+0.2

+0.1

+0.3

-4.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	4	1	0	3	1	1	.571
Expected From Contact →			3.26	0.84	0.50	1.92			.465

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single			25%	74%
2023-08-19	Single			96%	4%
2023-08-19	GIDP			4%	96%
2023-08-19	Single		1%	53%	46%
2022-08-25	Lineout		45%	14%	41%
2022-08-25	Walk
2022-08-25	Home Run	84%	2%		14%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	48%	30	RHB vs LHP	29	83%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

48%

RHB vs LHP

83%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	31%	37	Breaking	38	38%
	49%	65	Fastball	43	36%
	13%	0	Offspeed	-9	26%
			------------------
	50%	39	Slider	17	28%
	57%	12	Changeup	4	26%
⭐	50%	85	Four-Seam FB	35	25%
	47%	40	Sinker	64	11%
	42%	41	Curveball	64	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

31%

Breaking

38%

49%

Fastball

36%

13%

Offspeed

-9

26%

------------------

50%

Slider

28%

57%

Changeup

26%

⭐

50%

Four-Seam FB

25%

47%

Sinker

11%

42%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
68%	33	Bottom of zone	42	14%
69%	55	Away / Arm Side	51	12%
69%	54	Top of zone	43	10%
70%	0	In / Glove Side	44	10%
56%	41	Middle	-13	6%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

68%

Bottom of zone

14%

69%

Away / Arm Side

12%

69%

Top of zone

10%

70%

In / Glove Side

10%

56%

Middle

-13

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	38%	30	Below the zone	42	37%
⭐	30%	71	Away / Arm Side	15	28%
	41%	49	Above the zone	28	21%
	31%	11	In / Glove Side	50	21%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Below the zone

37%

⭐

30%

Away / Arm Side

28%

41%

Above the zone

21%

31%

In / Glove Side

21%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	67%	58	2 Strikes	2	29%
⭐	59%	66	Batter Behind	22	29%
	53%	3	Batter Ahead	25	28%
	26%	49	First Pitch	75	25%
	66%	17	3 Balls	34	8%
	76%	4	Full Count	7	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

67%

2 Strikes

29%

⭐

59%

Batter Behind

29%

53%

Batter Ahead

28%

26%

First Pitch

25%

66%

3 Balls

76%

Full Count