Matchup Machine

Jack Suwinski

Worst 17% of matchups for Javier Assad

Javier Assad

Best 12% of matchups for Jack Suwinski

Extreme advantage for Suwinski

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.6%	3.4%	12.7%	14.6%	25.4%
MLB (+/-)	+1.8	-0.9	-1.3	+4.9	+0.2
Suwinski	+0.5	-0.0	+2.0	+2.0	-7.5
Assad	+1.7	-0.9	-3.1	+3.8	+5.4

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.6%

3.4%

12.7%

14.6%

25.4%

MLB (+/-)

+1.8

-0.9

-1.3

+4.9

+0.2

Suwinski

+0.5

-0.0

+2.0

-7.5

Assad

+1.7

-0.9

-3.1

+3.8

+5.4

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	3	1	0	2	2	1	.500
Expected From Contact →			1.94	1.25	0.13	0.57			.324

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Single		7%	8%	85%
2023-08-27	Strikeout
2023-08-27	Single			48%	52%
2023-08-27	Flyout	26%	5%		69%
2022-09-23	Home Run	99%
2022-09-23	Walk

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	44%	68	LHB vs RHP	8	50%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

44%

LHB vs RHP

50%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
42%	43	Fastball	14	77%
22%	42	Breaking	35	18%
16%	18	Offspeed	63	5%	⭐
		------------------
42%	55	Sinker	23	30%
49%	56	Cutter	40	28%
41%	31	Four-Seam FB	22	20%
43%	27	Slider	44	13%
45%	59	Curveball	27	5%
47%	-4	Changeup	58	5%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

42%

Fastball

77%

22%

Breaking

18%

16%

Offspeed

⭐

------------------

42%

Sinker

30%

49%

Cutter

28%

41%

Four-Seam FB

20%

43%

Slider

13%

45%

Curveball

47%

-4

Changeup

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	60%	6	Bottom of zone	30	13%
	72%	36	Top of zone	24	10%
	59%	50	Away / Arm Side	28	10%
	75%	36	In / Glove Side	18	10%
⭐	76%	100	Middle	40	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

60%

Bottom of zone

13%

72%

Top of zone

10%

59%

Away / Arm Side

10%

75%

In / Glove Side

10%

⭐

76%

100

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	38%	38	Below the zone	17	39%
⭐⭐	21%	91	Away / Arm Side	8	31%
	18%	23	Above the zone	13	20%
	43%	36	In / Glove Side	28	20%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Below the zone

39%

⭐⭐

21%

Away / Arm Side

31%

18%

Above the zone

20%

43%

In / Glove Side

20%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	49%	36	Batter Ahead	3	31%
	52%	3	2 Strikes	23	26%
⭐	25%	62	First Pitch	7	26%
	42%	26	Batter Behind	34	24%
	52%	7	3 Balls	8	9%
	60%	19	Full Count	23	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

49%

Batter Ahead

31%

52%

2 Strikes

26%

⭐

25%

First Pitch

26%

42%

Batter Behind

24%

52%

3 Balls

60%

Full Count