Matchup Machine

Adley Rutschman

Worst 2% of matchups for Hunter Brown

Hunter Brown

Best 29% of matchups for Adley Rutschman

Extreme advantage for Rutschman

+10

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.0%	4.7%	13.9%	13.6%	17.7%
MLB (+/-)	+1.2	+0.5	-0.1	+3.9	-7.6
Rutschman	+0.7	-0.0	-1.3	+1.7	+0.7
Brown	+0.5	+0.4	+1.1	+2.8	-8.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.0%

4.7%

13.9%

13.6%

17.7%

MLB (+/-)

+1.2

+0.5

-0.1

+3.9

-7.6

Rutschman

+0.7

-0.0

-1.3

+1.7

+0.7

Brown

+0.5

+0.4

+1.1

+2.8

-8.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	1	0	1	0	0	.667
Expected From Contact →			1.59	0.92	0.07	0.59			.529

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-10	Home Run	92%	5%		3%
2023-08-10	Strikeout Double Play
2023-08-10	Single		2%	59%	39%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	44%	71	LHB vs RHP	58	48%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

44%

LHB vs RHP

48%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	22%	71	Breaking	56	50%
	43%	70	Fastball	76	46%
	16%	73	Offspeed	63	4%
			------------------
	44%	63	Four-Seam FB	54	46%
	26%	78	Knuckle-Curve	106	25%
	45%	58	Slider	23	24%
⭐	44%	66	Splitter	14	4%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

22%

Breaking

50%

43%

Fastball

46%

16%

Offspeed

------------------

44%

Four-Seam FB

46%

26%

Knuckle-Curve

106

25%

45%

Slider

24%

⭐

44%

Splitter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
70%	35	Top of zone	74	13%
61%	90	Bottom of zone	56	12%
54%	21	Away / Arm Side	48	11%
62%	65	In / Glove Side	63	10%
66%	67	Middle	60	5%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

70%

Top of zone

13%

61%

Bottom of zone

12%

54%

Away / Arm Side

11%

62%

In / Glove Side

10%

66%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
38%	95	Below the zone	86	32%
28%	21	Above the zone	46	26%
25%	64	Away / Arm Side	43	23%
42%	45	In / Glove Side	81	23%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Below the zone

32%

28%

Above the zone

26%

25%

Away / Arm Side

23%

42%

In / Glove Side

23%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	64%	103	2 Strikes	62	32%
	47%	68	Batter Ahead	50	29%
	52%	63	Batter Behind	75	28%
	14%	35	First Pitch	76	24%	⭐
	55%	75	3 Balls	51	10%
	63%	71	Full Count	50	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

64%

103

2 Strikes

32%

47%

Batter Ahead

29%

52%

Batter Behind

28%

14%

First Pitch

24%

⭐

55%

3 Balls

10%

63%

Full Count