Matchup Machine

Bo Bichette

Worst 6% of matchups for Clarke Schmidt

Clarke Schmidt

Best 30% of matchups for Bo Bichette

Extreme advantage for Bichette

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.7%	5.2%	18.9%	7.7%	18.1%
MLB (+/-)	-0.1	+1.0	+5.0	-2.0	-7.1
Bichette	+0.1	+0.3	+1.3	-0.3	-1.9
Schmidt	-0.4	+0.9	+3.8	-1.1	-6.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.7%

5.2%

18.9%

7.7%

18.1%

MLB (+/-)

-0.1

+1.0

+5.0

-2.0

-7.1

Bichette

+0.1

+0.3

+1.3

-0.3

-1.9

Schmidt

-0.4

+0.9

+3.8

-1.1

-6.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	7	3	1	0	2	2	1	.429
Expected From Contact →			3.46	1.24	0.44	1.77			.494

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Walk
2023-09-19	Home Run	61%	29%	1%	8%
2023-09-19	Single		2%	83%	15%
2023-04-23	Strikeout
2023-04-23	Forceout			33%	67%
2023-04-23	Strikeout
2022-09-28	Single			59%	41%
2022-09-26	Flyout	63%	13%		24%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	59%	93	RHB vs RHP	42	49%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

59%

RHB vs RHP

49%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	57%	57	Fastball	35	50%
	32%	100	Breaking	100	48%
			------------------
	64%	75	Slider	58	28%
	58%	79	Cutter	104	26%
⭐	53%	79	Sinker	27	24%
	56%	104	Knuckle-Curve	125	20%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

57%

Fastball

50%

32%

100

Breaking

100

48%

------------------

64%

Slider

28%

58%

Cutter

104

26%

⭐

53%

Sinker

24%

56%

104

Knuckle-Curve

125

20%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	74%	95	Bottom of zone	48	15%
	70%	67	Away / Glove Side	27	12%
	80%	25	In / Arm Side	52	12%
	81%	45	Top of zone	32	11%
	92%	47	Middle	14	7%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

74%

Bottom of zone

15%

70%

Away / Glove Side

12%

80%

In / Arm Side

12%

81%

Top of zone

11%

92%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	48%	104	Below the zone	111	36%
	45%	71	Away / Glove Side	99	35%
	43%	8	Above the zone	59	17%
⭐⭐	46%	92	In / Arm Side	24	15%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

48%

104

Below the zone

111

36%

45%

Away / Glove Side

35%

43%

Above the zone

17%

⭐⭐

46%

In / Arm Side

15%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
69%	50	2 Strikes	78	32%
63%	73	Batter Behind	61	32%
46%	78	First Pitch	40	26%
61%	75	Batter Ahead	67	24%
72%	35	3 Balls	78	7%	⭐
83%	18	Full Count	95	5%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

69%

2 Strikes

32%

63%

Batter Behind

32%

46%

First Pitch

26%

61%

Batter Ahead

24%

72%

3 Balls

⭐

83%

Full Count

⭐⭐