Matchup Machine

Blake Sabol

Worst 36% of matchups for Zac Gallen

Zac Gallen

Best 41% of matchups for Blake Sabol

Leans in favor of Sabol

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.2%	4.2%	11.6%	9.2%	30.3%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	-0.1	-2.4	-0.5	+5.2
Sabol	+0.9	+0.2	+0.2	-1.7	-0.2
Gallen	+0.9	-0.2	-2.7	+1.4	+4.2

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.2%

11.6%

9.2%

30.3%

MLB (+/-)

+1.4

-0.1

-2.4

-0.5

+5.2

Sabol

+0.9

+0.2

-1.7

-0.2

Gallen

+0.9

-0.2

-2.7

+1.4

+4.2

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	2	0	0	2	1	0	.500
Expected From Contact →			0.95	0.00	0.04	0.91			.237

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-01	Hit By Pitch
2023-08-01	Strikeout
2023-08-01	Single		4%	86%	10%
2023-05-13	Single			5%	95%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	55%	31	LHB vs RHP	83	49%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

55%

LHB vs RHP

49%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
58%	37	Fastball	82	62%	⭐
26%	21	Breaking	59	24%
22%	5	Offspeed	94	14%	⭐⭐
		------------------
61%	13	Four-Seam FB	63	49%	⭐
37%	61	Knuckle-Curve	112	23%	⭐
56%	7	Changeup	100	14%	⭐⭐
59%	103	Cutter	66	13%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

58%

Fastball

62%

⭐

26%

Breaking

24%

22%

Offspeed

14%

⭐⭐

------------------

61%

Four-Seam FB

49%

⭐

37%

Knuckle-Curve

112

23%

⭐

56%

Changeup

100

14%

⭐⭐

59%

103

Cutter

13%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
73%	33	Bottom of zone	65	13%
76%	52	Away / Arm Side	79	11%
82%	37	Top of zone	68	10%
84%	63	In / Glove Side	43	8%
85%	42	Middle	47	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

73%

Bottom of zone

13%

76%

Away / Arm Side

11%

82%

Top of zone

10%

84%

In / Glove Side

85%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
41%	-7	Below the zone	95	41%	⭐⭐
30%	31	Away / Arm Side	107	26%	⭐⭐
45%	17	In / Glove Side	70	24%	⭐
41%	43	Above the zone	85	18%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

41%

-7

Below the zone

41%

⭐⭐

30%

Away / Arm Side

107

26%

⭐⭐

45%

In / Glove Side

24%

⭐

41%

Above the zone

18%

⭐

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
56%	18	Batter Behind	90	31%	⭐⭐
60%	28	2 Strikes	93	31%	⭐⭐
45%	19	First Pitch	74	26%	⭐
55%	55	Batter Ahead	95	24%
61%	45	3 Balls	105	7%	⭐
68%	75	Full Count	104	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

56%

Batter Behind

31%

⭐⭐

60%

2 Strikes

31%

⭐⭐

45%

First Pitch

26%

⭐

55%

Batter Ahead

24%

61%

3 Balls

105

⭐

68%

Full Count

104