Matchup Machine

Juan Soto

Worst 7% of matchups for Ryan Feltner

Ryan Feltner

Best 16% of matchups for Juan Soto

Extreme advantage for Soto

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.9%	4.3%	13.0%	16.4%	19.1%
MLB (+/-)	+0.1	+0.0	-0.9	+6.7	-6.1
Soto	-0.2	-0.2	-0.9	+4.6	-3.7
Feltner	+0.4	+0.2	-0.5	+3.0	-3.5

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.9%

4.3%

13.0%

16.4%

19.1%

MLB (+/-)

+0.1

+0.0

-0.9

+6.7

-6.1

Soto

-0.2

-0.9

+4.6

-3.7

Feltner

+0.4

+0.2

-0.5

+3.0

-3.5

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	1	0	0	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			1.39	0.00	0.42	0.96			.277

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Groundout			40%	59%
2023-09-19	Flyout				99%
2022-09-23	Groundout			15%	85%
2022-09-23	Groundout			20%	80%
2022-09-23	Double		41%	21%	38%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
⭐	39%	96	LHB vs RHP	38	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

⭐

39%

LHB vs RHP

53%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	43%	82	Fastball	47	50%
⭐	18%	100	Breaking	40	37%
	12%	47	Offspeed	43	13%
			------------------
⭐⭐	39%	113	Slider	47	30%
⭐	43%	86	Four-Seam FB	43	26%
	39%	56	Sinker	66	22%
	35%	31	Changeup	43	13%
	28%	27	Curveball	21	7%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

43%

Fastball

50%

⭐

18%

100

Breaking

37%

12%

Offspeed

13%

------------------

⭐⭐

39%

113

Slider

30%

⭐

43%

Four-Seam FB

26%

39%

Sinker

22%

35%

Changeup

13%

28%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
71%	94	Top of zone	62	15%
59%	68	In / Glove Side	61	12%
57%	86	Away / Arm Side	62	12%
53%	70	Bottom of zone	65	10%
71%	77	Middle	61	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

71%

Top of zone

15%

59%

In / Glove Side

12%

57%

Away / Arm Side

12%

53%

Bottom of zone

10%

71%

Middle

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	21%	42	Below the zone	16	29%
	25%	33	In / Glove Side	37	27%
⭐	34%	81	Above the zone	22	26%
⭐⭐	22%	90	Away / Arm Side	2	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

21%

Below the zone

29%

25%

In / Glove Side

27%

⭐

34%

Above the zone

26%

⭐⭐

22%

Away / Arm Side

22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
⭐	52%	79	2 Strikes	30	30%
⭐	42%	103	Batter Ahead	54	29%
⭐⭐	43%	102	Batter Behind	29	28%
	26%	50	First Pitch	44	25%
	49%	98	3 Balls	67	10%
	62%	76	Full Count	60	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

⭐

52%

2 Strikes

30%

⭐

42%

103

Batter Ahead

29%

⭐⭐

43%

102

Batter Behind

28%

26%

First Pitch

25%

49%

3 Balls

10%

62%

Full Count