Matchup Machine

Alec Bohm

Worst 3% of matchups for Spencer Strider

Spencer Strider

Worst 9% of matchups for Alec Bohm

Moderate advantage for Bohm

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.4%	5.4%	16.4%	8.1%	21.5%
MLB (+/-)	-0.4	+1.1	+2.5	-1.6	-3.8
Bohm	-0.4	-0.0	-2.1	+0.0	+4.7
Strider	-0.2	+1.0	+4.3	-1.2	-10.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.4%

5.4%

16.4%

8.1%

21.5%

MLB (+/-)

-0.4

+1.1

+2.5

-1.6

-3.8

Bohm

-0.4

-0.0

-2.1

+0.0

+4.7

Strider

-0.2

+1.0

+4.3

-1.2

-10.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	19	19	4	1	0	3	8	0	.211
Expected From Contact →			3.60	0.35	0.69	2.56			.190

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Flyout				99%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Lineout		7%	2%	91%
2023-09-13	Single			61%	39%
2023-09-13	Strikeout
2023-09-13	Strikeout
2023-06-20	Flyout				99%
2023-06-20	Strikeout
2023-06-20	Strikeout
2022-10-14	Groundout			6%	94%
2022-09-18	Field Error
2022-09-18	Groundout			14%	86%
2022-09-18	Home Run	35%	5%		60%
2022-08-02	Lineout		3%	68%	28%
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-08-02	Strikeout
2022-07-26	Single		47%	42%	11%
2022-07-26	Single		5%	63%	33%
2022-05-25	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	52%	85	RHB vs RHP	125	46%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

52%

RHB vs RHP

125

46%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	50%	65	Fastball	125	59%	⭐
	28%	95	Breaking	78	34%
	10%	106	Offspeed	69	7%
			------------------
	52%	60	Four-Seam FB	125	59%	⭐⭐
	59%	96	Slider	90	34%
⭐	66%	115	Changeup	66	7%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

50%

Fastball

125

59%

⭐

28%

Breaking

34%

10%

106

Offspeed

------------------

52%

Four-Seam FB

125

59%

⭐⭐

59%

Slider

34%

⭐

66%

115

Changeup

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
63%	56	Away / Glove Side	100	15%	⭐
79%	70	Top of zone	125	12%	⭐
68%	103	Bottom of zone	93	12%
73%	59	In / Arm Side	125	8%	⭐⭐
71%	40	Middle	95	6%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

63%

Away / Glove Side

100

15%

⭐

79%

Top of zone

125

12%

⭐

68%

103

Bottom of zone

12%

73%

In / Arm Side

125

⭐⭐

71%

Middle

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	40%	92	Below the zone	78	36%
	35%	104	Away / Glove Side	105	35%
	45%	90	Above the zone	125	23%
⭐	42%	91	In / Arm Side	39	13%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

40%

Below the zone

36%

35%

104

Away / Glove Side

105

35%

45%

Above the zone

125

23%

⭐

42%

In / Arm Side

13%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
55%	51	Batter Behind	113	35%	⭐⭐
61%	75	2 Strikes	100	34%
38%	66	First Pitch	125	24%	⭐
59%	103	Batter Ahead	119	23%
53%	66	3 Balls	96	7%
65%	64	Full Count	90	4%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

55%

Batter Behind

113

35%

⭐⭐

61%

2 Strikes

100

34%

38%

First Pitch

125

24%

⭐

59%

103

Batter Ahead

119

23%

53%

3 Balls

65%

Full Count