Matchup Machine

Kyle Isbel

Worst 42% of matchups for Logan Allen

Logan Allen

Worst 48% of matchups for Kyle Isbel

Moderate advantage for Isbel

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.1%	4.4%	15.0%	8.3%	13.4%
MLB (+/-)	-0.6	+0.1	+1.0	-1.4	-11.8
Isbel	-0.0	-0.4	+0.4	+0.1	-4.4
Allen	-0.7	+0.5	+0.1	-1.8	-7.9

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.1%

4.4%

15.0%

8.3%

13.4%

MLB (+/-)

-0.6

+0.1

+1.0

-1.4

-11.8

Isbel

-0.0

-0.4

+0.4

+0.1

-4.4

Allen

-0.7

+0.5

+0.1

-1.8

-7.9

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	4	3	0	1	2	1	0	.750
Expected From Contact →			2.17	0.00	0.50	1.67			.542

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Double		45%	49%	6%
2023-07-24	Single			33%	66%
2023-07-24	Single		4%	85%	11%
2023-07-24	Strikeout

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	48%	42	LHB vs LHP	65	17%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

48%

LHB vs LHP

17%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
47%	45	Fastball	78	54%
25%	43	Breaking	40	24%
18%	48	Offspeed	57	22%
		------------------
47%	39	Four-Seam FB	57	45%
50%	47	Slider	42	24%
52%	31	Changeup	53	20%
53%	68	Cutter	69	9%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

47%

Fastball

54%

25%

Breaking

24%

18%

Offspeed

22%

------------------

47%

Four-Seam FB

45%

50%

Slider

24%

52%

Changeup

20%

53%

Cutter

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
67%	40	Away / Glove Side	61	18%
61%	63	Bottom of zone	62	13%
66%	47	Top of zone	80	12%
56%	60	In / Arm Side	76	7%
72%	24	Middle	91	6%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

67%

Away / Glove Side

18%

61%

Bottom of zone

13%

66%

Top of zone

12%

56%

In / Arm Side

72%

Middle

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
39%	59	Away / Glove Side	49	41%
43%	26	Below the zone	52	34%
33%	30	Above the zone	58	23%
35%	40	In / Arm Side	15	9%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

39%

Away / Glove Side

41%

43%

Below the zone

34%

33%

Above the zone

23%

35%

In / Arm Side

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
59%	51	2 Strikes	56	30%
54%	30	Batter Behind	60	29%
54%	49	Batter Ahead	70	27%
27%	14	First Pitch	73	25%	⭐
60%	31	3 Balls	64	8%
69%	49	Full Count	58	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

59%

2 Strikes

30%

54%

Batter Behind

29%

54%

Batter Ahead

27%

First Pitch

25%

⭐

60%

3 Balls

69%

Full Count