Matchup Machine

Dylan Moore

Best 27% of matchups for Paul Blackburn

Paul Blackburn

Worst 41% of matchups for Dylan Moore

Moderate advantage for Blackburn

- 3

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.7%	3.3%	11.3%	13.6%	34.2%
MLB (+/-)	-0.1	-0.9	-2.6	+3.9	+9.0
Moore	-0.2	-0.2	+1.0	+0.8	+1.3
Blackburn	-0.2	-1.0	-5.0	+3.6	+9.7

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.7%

3.3%

11.3%

13.6%

34.2%

MLB (+/-)

-0.1

-0.9

-2.6

+3.9

+9.0

Moore

-0.2

+1.0

+0.8

+1.3

Blackburn

-0.2

-1.0

-5.0

+3.6

+9.7

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	4	3	1	0	1	0	2	1	.333
Expected From Contact →			0.48	0.07	0.39	0.02			.160

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-07-02	Walk
2022-07-02	Strikeout
2021-09-21	Strikeout
2021-09-21	Triple	7%	39%	2%	52%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	49%	13	RHB vs RHP	40	54%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

49%

RHB vs RHP

54%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
48%	59	Fastball	22	59%
31%	-11	Breaking	59	30%
11%	21	Offspeed	57	11%
		------------------
49%	42	Sinker	26	25%
41%	37	Cutter	58	20%
53%	-23	Slider	58	19%
49%	64	Four-Seam FB	31	13%
34%	15	Curveball	51	12%
40%	23	Changeup	52	11%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

48%

Fastball

59%

31%

-11

Breaking

30%

11%

Offspeed

11%

------------------

49%

Sinker

25%

41%

Cutter

20%

53%

-23

Slider

19%

49%

Four-Seam FB

13%

34%

Curveball

12%

40%

Changeup

11%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
	55%	26	Away / Glove Side	38	15%
	68%	11	Bottom of zone	52	11%
⭐	67%	62	Top of zone	17	9%
	71%	5	In / Arm Side	49	6%
	58%	45	Middle	50	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

55%

Away / Glove Side

15%

68%

Bottom of zone

11%

⭐

67%

Top of zone

71%

In / Arm Side

58%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
38%	16	Away / Glove Side	60	46%	⭐
40%	40	Below the zone	52	42%
29%	44	Above the zone	22	18%
38%	17	In / Arm Side	17	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

38%

Away / Glove Side

46%

⭐

40%

Below the zone

42%

29%

Above the zone

18%

38%

In / Arm Side

14%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
66%	31	2 Strikes	52	30%
46%	18	Batter Ahead	13	28%
58%	31	Batter Behind	56	27%
26%	66	First Pitch	31	25%
49%	20	3 Balls	26	9%
63%	36	Full Count	23	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

66%

2 Strikes

30%

46%

Batter Ahead

28%

58%

Batter Behind

27%

26%

First Pitch

25%

49%

3 Balls

63%

Full Count