Matchup Machine

Ty France

Worst 16% of matchups for Paul Blackburn

Paul Blackburn

Best 13% of matchups for Ty France

Extreme advantage for France

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.5%	5.8%	18.0%	7.9%	18.8%
MLB (+/-)	-0.3	+1.5	+4.1	-1.8	-6.4
France	-0.1	+0.3	+2.7	+0.4	-1.5
Blackburn	-0.4	+1.5	+1.6	-2.1	-5.7

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.5%

5.8%

18.0%

7.9%

18.8%

MLB (+/-)

-0.3

+1.5

+4.1

-1.8

-6.4

France

-0.1

+0.3

+2.7

+0.4

-1.5

Blackburn

-0.4

+1.5

+1.6

-2.1

-5.7

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	16	15	3	0	1	2	2	1	.200
Expected From Contact →			3.13	0.01	1.11	2.01			.209

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Single			17%	83%
2023-09-19	Groundout			23%	77%
2022-06-22	Single		11%	71%	18%
2022-06-22	Lineout		2%	19%	79%
2022-06-22	Strikeout
2022-05-25	Walk
2022-05-25	Forceout			8%	92%
2022-05-25	Hit By Pitch
2021-09-21	Pop Out				100%
2021-09-21	Flyout	1%			98%
2021-09-21	Strikeout
2021-08-23	Groundout			37%	62%
2021-08-23	Flyout		3%	9%	88%
2021-08-23	Flyout				100%
2020-09-26	Double		42%	7%	51%
2020-09-26	Groundout		50%	9%	41%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	53%	33	RHB vs RHP	39	54%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

53%

RHB vs RHP

54%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
51%	24	Fastball	22	59%
32%	50	Breaking	60	30%
12%	37	Offspeed	57	11%
		------------------
54%	8	Sinker	25	25%
57%	2	Cutter	58	20%
61%	33	Slider	59	19%
48%	48	Four-Seam FB	32	13%
54%	74	Curveball	50	12%
69%	39	Changeup	54	11%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

51%

Fastball

59%

32%

Breaking

30%

12%

Offspeed

11%

------------------

54%

Sinker

25%

57%

Cutter

20%

61%

Slider

19%

48%

Four-Seam FB

13%

54%

Curveball

12%

69%

Changeup

11%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐	71%	90	Away / Glove Side	38	15%
	72%	65	Bottom of zone	51	11%
	76%	24	Top of zone	19	9%
	72%	-9	In / Arm Side	50	6%
	75%	20	Middle	52	4%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

⭐

71%

Away / Glove Side

15%

72%

Bottom of zone

11%

76%

Top of zone

72%

-9

In / Arm Side

75%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
40%	33	Away / Glove Side	60	46%
50%	35	Below the zone	52	42%
39%	-1	Above the zone	23	18%
37%	52	In / Arm Side	18	14%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

40%

Away / Glove Side

46%

50%

Below the zone

42%

39%

-1

Above the zone

18%

37%

In / Arm Side

14%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
65%	30	2 Strikes	52	30%
61%	-8	Batter Ahead	14	28%
61%	52	Batter Behind	56	27%
34%	40	First Pitch	31	25%
62%	0	3 Balls	27	9%
74%	-6	Full Count	21	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

65%

2 Strikes

30%

61%

-8

Batter Ahead

28%

61%

Batter Behind

27%

34%

First Pitch

25%

62%

3 Balls

74%

-6

Full Count