Matchup Machine

Brendan Rodgers

Worst 42% of matchups for Blake Snell

Blake Snell

Worst 9% of matchups for Brendan Rodgers

Moderate advantage for Snell

- 5

Model Prediction
Prediction	1.7%	3.7%	14.6%	9.3%	29.0%
MLB (+/-)	-1.1	-0.5	+0.7	-0.4	+3.8
Rodgers	-0.2	-0.3	-2.5	+1.4	+6.4
Snell	-1.0	+0.0	+3.4	-3.1	-3.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

1.7%

3.7%

14.6%

9.3%

29.0%

MLB (+/-)

-1.1

-0.5

+0.7

-0.4

+3.8

Rodgers

-0.2

-0.3

-2.5

+1.4

+6.4

Snell

-1.0

+0.0

+3.4

-3.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	16	15	4	0	0	4	2	1	.267
Expected From Contact →			4.11	0.00	0.29	3.82			.274

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Lineout		17%	11%	73%
2023-09-19	Groundout			44%	56%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2022-08-03	Flyout		2%	28%	70%
2022-08-03	Groundout			33%	67%
2022-08-03	Single			21%	79%
2022-07-14	Lineout		4%	1%	95%
2022-07-14	Walk
2022-06-19	GIDP			6%	94%
2022-06-19	Groundout			54%	46%
2022-06-19	Single			56%	44%
2022-06-12	Strikeout
2022-06-12	Single			27%	73%
2022-06-12	Flyout				100%
2021-06-16	Lineout		6%	4%	90%
2021-06-16	Single			96%	3%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	45%	34	RHB vs LHP	107	81%	⭐⭐

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

45%

RHB vs LHP

107

81%

⭐⭐

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
44%	57	Fastball	96	49%
40%	42	Breaking	107	33%	⭐⭐
11%	35	Offspeed	51	18%
		------------------
40%	53	Four-Seam FB	75	49%
47%	10	Curveball	111	20%	⭐⭐
60%	38	Changeup	50	18%
55%	53	Slider	58	13%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

44%

Fastball

49%

40%

Breaking

107

33%

⭐⭐

11%

Offspeed

18%

------------------

40%

Four-Seam FB

49%

47%

Curveball

111

20%

⭐⭐

60%

Changeup

18%

55%

Slider

13%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
57%	29	Bottom of zone	125	11%	⭐⭐
59%	6	Away / Arm Side	125	11%	⭐⭐
75%	69	Top of zone	95	7%
73%	48	In / Glove Side	87	6%
85%	54	Middle	91	3%

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

57%

Bottom of zone

125

11%

⭐⭐

59%

Away / Arm Side

125

11%

⭐⭐

75%

Top of zone

73%

In / Glove Side

85%

Middle

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
41%	42	Below the zone	74	48%
28%	58	Away / Arm Side	14	31%
26%	73	In / Glove Side	114	26%	⭐
28%	58	Above the zone	49	19%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

41%

Below the zone

48%

28%

Away / Arm Side

31%

26%

In / Glove Side

114

26%

⭐

28%

Above the zone

19%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
55%	38	Batter Ahead	69	32%
57%	52	2 Strikes	118	29%	⭐⭐
53%	76	Batter Behind	125	25%	⭐
35%	55	First Pitch	99	24%	⭐
52%	33	3 Balls	73	12%
64%	41	Full Count	75	7%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

55%

Batter Ahead

32%

57%

2 Strikes

118

29%

⭐⭐

53%

Batter Behind

125

25%

⭐

35%

First Pitch

24%

⭐

52%

3 Balls

12%

64%

Full Count