Matchup Machine

Trent Grisham

Worst 17% of matchups for Ryan Feltner

Ryan Feltner

Best 13% of matchups for Trent Grisham

Strong advantage for Grisham

Model Prediction
Prediction	2.5%	3.9%	11.1%	18.8%	23.7%
MLB (+/-)	-0.3	-0.3	-2.9	+9.1	-1.5
Grisham	-0.4	+0.1	-0.1	+4.9	-4.3
Feltner	+0.0	-0.1	-2.4	+5.4	+1.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

2.5%

3.9%

11.1%

18.8%

23.7%

MLB (+/-)

-0.3

-2.9

+9.1

-1.5

Grisham

-0.4

+0.1

-0.1

+4.9

-4.3

Feltner

+0.0

-0.1

-2.4

+5.4

+1.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	2	0	0	1	0	.333
Expected From Contact →			1.97	0.96	0.22	0.79			.329

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-09-19	Flyout				100%
2022-08-02	Lineout			77%	22%
2022-08-02	Home Run	27%	15%		57%
2022-06-11	Flyout		2%		98%
2022-06-11	Home Run	69%	4%		26%

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	44%	7	LHB vs RHP	38	53%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

44%

LHB vs RHP

53%

Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
44%	21	Fastball	47	50%
18%	8	Breaking	40	37%
12%	13	Offspeed	43	13%
		------------------
37%	4	Slider	47	30%
45%	47	Four-Seam FB	43	26%
43%	-9	Sinker	66	22%	⭐
52%	16	Changeup	43	13%
35%	22	Curveball	21	7%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

44%

Fastball

50%

18%

Breaking

37%

12%

Offspeed

13%

------------------

37%

Slider

30%

45%

Four-Seam FB

26%

43%

-9

Sinker

22%

⭐

52%

Changeup

13%

35%

Curveball

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
55%	19	Top of zone	62	15%	⭐
56%	-17	In / Glove Side	61	12%	⭐
58%	46	Away / Arm Side	62	12%
64%	21	Bottom of zone	65	10%	⭐
75%	-3	Middle	61	4%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

55%

Top of zone

15%

⭐

56%

-17

In / Glove Side

12%

⭐

58%

Away / Arm Side

12%

64%

Bottom of zone

10%

⭐

75%

-3

Middle

⭐

Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
40%	20	Below the zone	16	29%
34%	18	In / Glove Side	37	27%
13%	47	Above the zone	22	26%
22%	14	Away / Arm Side	2	22%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

40%

Below the zone

29%

34%

In / Glove Side

27%

13%

Above the zone

26%

22%

Away / Arm Side

22%

Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
58%	3	2 Strikes	30	30%
46%	32	Batter Ahead	54	29%
48%	-20	Batter Behind	29	28%
25%	37	First Pitch	44	25%
54%	40	3 Balls	67	10%
65%	54	Full Count	60	6%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

58%

2 Strikes

30%

46%

Batter Ahead

29%

48%

-20

Batter Behind

28%

25%

First Pitch

25%

54%

3 Balls

10%

65%

Full Count