Matchup Machine

Lane Thomas

Worst 48% of matchups for Jose Urena

Jose Urena

Best 21% of matchups for Lane Thomas

Strong advantage for Thomas

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.1%	4.5%	13.4%	8.7%	18.6%
MLB (+/-)	+1.3	+0.3	-0.5	-1.0	-6.6
Thomas	+0.4	+0.4	-0.1	+0.9	-8.2
Urena	+0.7	-0.3	-1.0	-1.9	+1.1

Model Prediction

2B / 3B

Prediction

4.1%

4.5%

13.4%

8.7%

18.6%

MLB (+/-)

+1.3

+0.3

-0.5

-1.0

-6.6

Thomas

+0.4

-0.1

+0.9

-8.2

Urena

+0.7

-0.3

-1.0

-1.9

+1.1

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	5	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	.200
Expected From Contact →			0.63	0.00	0.10	0.53			.126

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-19	Sac Fly		10%	8%	82%
2023-09-19	Groundout			5%	95%
2023-09-19	Strikeout
2023-04-07	Single			40%	60%
2023-04-07	Field Error

	Swing	Grade	Handedness	Grade	Freq
	46%	47	RHB vs RHP	33	45%

Swing

Grade

Handedness

Grade

Freq

46%

RHB vs RHP

45%

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
	44%	73	Fastball	38	54%
	25%	46	Breaking	12	23%
	9%	62	Offspeed	53	23%
			------------------
	42%	35	Sinker	70	38%
	47%	43	Slider	8	23%
	54%	69	Changeup	52	23%
⭐⭐	44%	98	Four-Seam FB	30	15%

Swing

Grade

Pitch Type

Grade

Freq

44%

Fastball

54%

25%

Breaking

23%

Offspeed

23%

------------------

42%

Sinker

38%

47%

Slider

23%

54%

Changeup

23%

⭐⭐

44%

Four-Seam FB

15%

Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
54%	37	Bottom of zone	58	15%
49%	13	Away / Glove Side	52	12%
66%	57	In / Arm Side	50	10%
70%	59	Top of zone	37	6%
79%	8	Middle	72	5%	⭐

Swing

Grade

Location (in zone)

Grade

Freq

54%

Bottom of zone

15%

49%

Away / Glove Side

12%

66%

In / Arm Side

10%

70%

Top of zone

79%

Middle

⭐

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	34%	17	Below the zone	9	48%
	29%	31	Away / Glove Side	0	37%
⭐⭐	38%	87	In / Arm Side	25	17%
⭐⭐	35%	125	Above the zone	10	12%

Swing

Grade

Location (out of zone)

Grade

Freq

34%

Below the zone

48%

29%

Away / Glove Side

37%

⭐⭐

38%

In / Arm Side

17%

⭐⭐

35%

125

Above the zone

12%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	56%	33	2 Strikes	35	28%
	51%	38	Batter Ahead	8	27%
	51%	61	Batter Behind	45	27%
⭐⭐	31%	102	First Pitch	40	26%
	69%	-12	3 Balls	15	9%
	76%	-8	Full Count	34	5%

Swing

Grade

Count

Grade

Freq

56%

2 Strikes

28%

51%

Batter Ahead

27%

51%

Batter Behind

27%

⭐⭐

31%

102

First Pitch

26%

69%

-12

3 Balls

76%

-8

Full Count